Top 3 MLB Player Prop Bets & Picks (Saturday)
Saturday’s MLB action gets off to a somewhat later start than usual with the first games not scheduled until 4:05 p.m. ET. But that should give bettors plenty of opportunity to do their research on what should be an exciting slate of games. Read on for our top MLB player prop bets for Saturday, May 10.
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Saturday's Best MLB Player Prop Bets
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Alex Bregman Over 1.5 hits/runs/RBI (-105)
Alex Bregman entered the weekend leading the Red Sox in nearly every statistical offensive category, including batting average (.318), home runs (9), RBI (30), on-base percentage (.392) and hits (48).
Bregman has just two hits in a small 10 at-bat sample size against Royals southpaw Cole Ragans, but one of those was a home run. However, we are high on Bregman’s output because of his five walks compared to one strikeout against Ragans, which suggests he sees the ball well out of his hand.
Bregman was picked up because of the damage he was projected to do at Fenway Park. But his road numbers (.342/.390/.618) trump his numbers at home (.293/.393/.573) so far. And while his slugging percentage was 223 points lower against left-handed pitchers than righties entering the weekend, we are covering our bases with this hits/run/RBIs play in case he does not hit for power.
Tylor Megill Under 5.5 strikeouts (-110)
Tylor Megill leads all Mets starting pitchers with 45 strikeouts and an 11.3 K/9 rate. He has also been a workhorse, averaging the second-most pitches per start (90.1). However, his 0.5 WAR is tied for the lowest of any member of the rotation, his walk rate and hard-hit rate rank in the 39th percentile or lower among all qualified pitchers. That has his xERA more than a half-run higher than his actual ERA.
Megill faces a Cubs lineup that entered the weekend in the top 10 for lowest strikeout rate (20.3%). And even though they strike out at a slightly higher rate (21.2%), their top-three NL rankings in wOBA and wRC+ lower Megill’s ceilings for strikeouts considering he has a greater chance of being knocked out of the game early.
Nolan Schanuel Over 0.5 runs (+110)
Angels first baseman Nolan Schanuel entered the weekend with a team-leading .341 on-base percentage and 17 runs scored.
Los Angeles should score plenty of runs in this three-game series against Baltimore, as the Orioles have an AL-worst 5.65 ERA and MLB-worst 5.48 FIP among their starting pitchers.
Tonight’s starter, Kyle Gibson has been lit up for 12 earned runs in his 7 2/3 innings of work this season. And there is a good chance Schanuel can plate himself with a run, as Gibson has allowed a whopping six home runs thus far.
Schanuel has scored at least one run in three of the last four games and six of the previous 10, so this is great value for him to cross the plate again.
Mike Spector is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Mike, check out his archive and follow him @MikeSpector01.