Top MLB Betting Odds & Picks for Monday, August 1st (2022)
It has been relatively quiet from a trade deadline perspective in Major League Baseball over the last seven days, as Andrew Benintendi and Luis Castillo are the two biggest names to have been dealt to this point. However, the rumor mill continues to churn around the most prominent names like Juan Soto and Shohei Ohtani, so it will be interesting to see what kind of shakeup we are in for before Tuesday’s 6:00 p.m. trade deadline. Bettors should monitor all trade activity, as moves involving big names could alter lines drastically.
Here are our best bets for Monday’s MLB action. (Odds courtesy of DraftKings)
View the best player prop bets for tonight’s slate with our MLB Prop Bet Cheat Sheet >>
Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees O/U
The Mariners and Yankees have a history of low-scoring head-to-head matchups recently. The under is 41-16-3 in the last 60 meetings between these teams and is 21-7-3 in the previous 31 meetings at Yankee Stadium. However, we expect these offenses to buck this low-scoring trend based on tonight’s starting pitching matchup.
Seattle’s Marco Gonzales (6-10, 3.66) is due for significant regression based on his poor metrics. Gonzales has the highest FIP (5.08) of all 64 starting pitchers who have thrown at least 100 innings this year. Gonzales also is on pace for his lowest K% (12.4%) of his career, and he ranks in the second percentile in K% and fourth percentile in whiff percentage. In addition, his current .335 wOBA and .270 xOBA are his worst since his rookie year in 2017. That spells trouble against the Yankees lineup, especially against the 1-2 combination of DJ Lemahieu and Aaron Judge. They are a combined 16-for-46 (.348) with seven home runs and 16 RBI over the last seven days.
We also expect Seattle’s offense to score against Domingo German (0-1, 8.22), who has not reached the fifth inning in his two starts and is still knocking off the rust from a shoulder injury suffered in March.
Bet: Mariners-Yankees OVER 9 Runs (-110 at DraftKings)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants ML
The Dodgers are 7-1 in their last eight road games, while the Giants are mired in a slump where they have won just three of their previous 11 games. However, we expect a visit from their biggest rivals to bring out the best in the Giants and for the home team to win for the tenth consecutive time (the Dodgers own a 6-3 season series lead) between these two teams this year.
Giants starter, Logan Webb (9-4, 2.91), has been outstanding at home this year, with a 7-2 record and 2.43 ERA in 11 home starts. He has also pitched to a 2.23 ERA over his previous seven starts overall and should be buoyed by an offense that has fared well against left-handed starting pitching this year.
The Giants are seven games over .500 (21-14) against left-handed starting pitchers and seven games under .500 (30-37) against righties. That does not bode well for Andrew Heaney (1-0, 0.47), who is largely unproven despite what seem like impressive numbers through four starts this year. Heaney has thrown more than five innings just once this season, which means the Giants should get plenty of looks at the Dodgers’ bullpen that ranks 18th in ERA (4.18) over the last 14 days.
Bet: San Francisco Giants ML (+120 at DraftKings)
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Mike Spector is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Mike, check out his archive and follow him @MikeSpector01.