Top MLB Betting Odds & Picks for Monday, July 25th (2022)
Near record temperatures across the country made for high-scoring games throughout the day yesterday, as 149 combined runs were scored through the first 14 day games (10.6 runs per game). There are thunderstorms expected in many Major League cities today, so one should be sure to look at forecasts and see how potential rain could impact games of interest.
Here are our best bets for Monday’s MLB action. (Odds courtesy of DraftKings)
View the best player prop bets for tonight’s slate with our MLB Prop Bet Cheat Sheet >>
Cleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red Sox ML
The Red Sox were the brunt of many jokes on Twitter over the weekend, as they were swept in three games at home by the Blue Jays and were outscored 40-10 in the process. Per ESPN Stats & Info, Boston’s -54 run differential over the last five losses is the worst five-game run differential since the 1899 Spiders. Furthermore, the Red Sox have lost nine of their previous ten games, all to division rivals, but should find comfort in playing a team outside the AL East for a change.
The Red Sox are 12-29 against division rivals this season and 36-19 against everyone else. While Boston has struggled recently, it has still averaged 5.3 runs per game over its last home game. Thus, one would figure if it gets a decent pitching performance out of Nick Pivetta (8-7, 4.50) tonight, it has a great chance of winning. However, Pivetta has led the team to ten wins in his last 13 starts, and oddsmakers are underselling the Red Sox in this matchup, especially against a starting pitcher (Zach Plesac) that has not won any of his last seven appearances.
Bet: Boston Red Sox ML (-110 at DraftKings)
Washington Nationals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers O/U
Per Sarah Langs (@SlangsOnSports), the Dodgers are coming off their first four-game sweep of the Giants since June 1995, as 26 four-game series were played between the two rivals since that sweep. Los Angeles has won eight consecutive games, and its offense has averaged 6.5 runs per game in that span. Those numbers were compiled against the Giants’ and Angels’ pitching staffs, who rank 11th and 19th in the league in ERA, while Washington’s pitching staff sits 29th with a 5.19 ERA. Thus, the Dodgers could surpass this projected total all by themselves.
However, we expect Washington to do its part in the scoring against Tony Gonsolin, who is due for regression after starting the season 11-0 with a 2.02 ERA. Gonsolin has allowed seven earned runs in his previous 12 innings against the Cubs and Cardinals, and his 2.97 xERA suggests he has been lucky to keep runs off the board as often as he has to this point.
Bet: Nationals-Dodgers OVER 8.5 Runs (-115 at DraftKings)
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Mike Spector is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Mike, check out his archive and follow him @MikeSpector01.