Top MLB Betting Odds & Picks for Monday, June 27th (2022)
Before last weekend’s series between the New York Yankees and Houston Astros, bettors may have been surprised at each team’s futures odds. Given New York’s historic start, which has it on pace to break the all-time regular-season wins record, its odds to win the pennant are only +200 compared to Houston’s +240 odds. The recent four-game series somewhat validated those odds, as the Astros were close to a four-game road sweep if not for two instances of late-game heroics from Aaron Judge and the Yankees. The series itself was also historic for other reasons.
Here are our best bets for Monday’s MLB action. (Odds courtesy of DraftKings)
View the best player prop bets for tonight’s slate with our MLB Prop Bet Cheat Sheet >>
Adam Wainwright O/U Strikeouts vs. Miami Marlins
To say that the St. Louis Cardinals bullpen will be taxed entering this series opener against the Miami Marlins is an understatement. They are already down one man as reliever Genesis Cabrera landed on the 10-day IL, and Giovanny Gallegos and Ryan Helsley were unavailable in yesterday’s series finale against the Cubs due to a recent heavy workload. Then, yesterday’s starter, Jack Flaherty, left the game after two innings due to shoulder stiffness, which forced six Cardinals relievers to combine to finish the remaining eight innings, as the game went to extras.
Thus, Adam Wainwright (5-5, 3.32) faces pressure to give his team length tonight. Wainwright is familiar with being an innings eater, throwing at least six innings in eight of his last ten starts. He faces a Marlins lineup that strikes out the seventh-highest percentage of the time (23.6%), and he will be given every opportunity to go deep into this game, given how overused the bullpen has been.
Wainwright has at least seven strikeouts in three of his last five starts, so we see him having no problem surpassing the 5.5 projected strikeout total against a weak Marlins lineup.
Bet: Adam Wainwright OVER 5.5 Strikeouts (-140 at DraftKings)
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals O/U
The Royals play their tenth of 12 consecutive games against AL West opponents when facing the Rangers in tonight’s series opener. Two of the three games from the first series involving these teams had ten runs scored, but we do not see this game coming close to that total, especially with how good Kansas City’s starting pitching has been recently.
Before yesterday’s matchup against Oakland, Royals starters had combined to allow 23 earned runs in 57 innings (3.51 ERA), with eight more strikeouts than hits allowed (55 K’s, 47 H). In yesterday’s 5-3 loss, Royals manager Mike Matheny showed how much faith he had in Brady Singer, allowing him to go 8.1 innings despite allowing five earned runs. As a result, Singer became the first Royals pitcher to lose a decision when pitching at least 8.1 innings since 2017.
Now Kris Bubic (1-4, 7.41) faces a Texas lineup that has averaged 4.0 runs per game over the last 11 games and scored three or fewer runs six times in that span. He is opposed by Rangers ace Martin Perez (5-2, 1.96), who has the third-best ERA in baseball. Perez allowed just one earned run in five hits in 6.1 innings in a May 10th win against Kansas City, and we expect him to do his part in shutting down the Royals lineup again.
Bet: Rangers-Royals UNDER 8.5 Runs (-110 at DraftKings)
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Mike Spector is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Mike, check out his archive and follow him @MikeSpector01.