Top MLB Betting Odds, Picks & Predictions: Tuesday, September 13th (2022)
As the end of the regular season draws near, we will see doubleheaders around Major League Baseball with somewhat more regularity as teams scrounge to make up all games from prior postponements or the early season lockout. That is especially true today, as doubleheaders between the Pirates and Reds and Rays and Blue Jays highlight a loaded 17-game slate.
Here are our best bets for Tuesday’s MLB action. (Odds courtesy of DraftKings)
View the best player prop bets for tonight’s slate with our MLB Prop Bet Cheat Sheet >>
Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers RL
One would expect the odds for a game pitting a 91-win team against a 54-win team to be more egregious, but Houston’s moneyline and runline odds are somewhat muted, given the relative unknown of Hunter Brown (1-0, 0.00) in his second career start. However, as StatsBySTATS explained on Twitter, Brown’s debut was part of history.
While Brown figures to continue to have the edge over hitters as an unknown for a few more starts, Houston has a lot of scouting reports on Detroit’s Drew Hutchison (2-7, 4.08). Hutchison’s 2.89 BB/9, .282 BABIP, and 1.42 HR/9 rates are all second-worst among Tigers starting pitchers (min. four starts) over the last 30 days. Hutchison also allows a team-high 23.5% line drive rate and team-low 37% ground ball rate, which is dangerous when facing an Astros team with the second-most home runs (183) of any AL team.
Bet: Houston Astros -1.5 Runs (-135 at DraftKings)
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox O/U
After what seemed like a month-long slump, the Yankees lineup broke out for 20 runs over the last two games, and the over is 5-1 in their previous six games. And the Yankees are a very streaky offensive team, with the over going 20-5-1 in their last 26 games after scoring at least five runs in the game prior.
The over is 7-3 in the last ten meetings between these teams, and not even ace Gerrit Cole is immune to getting rocked at Fenway Park by his division rivals.
Cole is 2-3 with a 5.45 ERA in seven road starts against Boston, his highest ERA at any visiting ballpark where he has made at least five starts. Cole earned the win in his only start at Fenway this season, but it was an unimpressive effort, as he was tagged for five runs in six innings.
Boston’s Nick Pivetta (9-11, 4.29) has not lasted more than five innings in any of his previous three starts, which means the Yankees bats should get plenty of looks at the Red Sox’s 25th-ranked bullpen with a collective 4.87 ERA over the last 30 days.
Bet: Yankees-Red Sox Over 8 (-120 at DraftKings)
Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giants ML
We are getting very reasonable odds on Atlanta’s moneyline in this game, as its 23-8 record since August 9th is the best record in the majors in that span. The Braves enter the day 1.5 games behind the Mets and made a hard charge at them on the strength of a 44-8 stretch in their last 52 games against teams under .500.
Atlanta’s Kyle Wright’s (17-5, 3.23) originally scheduled start from yesterday was pushed back to today, so he should be stronger with an extra day’s rest. He may have needed it, as his ERA has risen steadily from 3.23 in his last 30 games to 3.86 in his previous 15 and 4.01 in his last seven. However, he is still 4-1 in that span, and the team has won 12 of his previous 13 appearances overall.
If you remove a poor outing against Oakland in his previous start (eight ER allowed in four innings), Wright has allowed three earned runs in his last 26 innings, with a K/9 rate of 9.00 in that span. He is opposed by Jakob Junis (4-5, 3.98), whose hard-hit percentage and xSLG rank in the bottom third of the league.
Bet: Atlanta Braves ML (-155 at DraftKings)
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Mike Spector is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Mike, check out his archive and follow him @MikeSpector01.