Tour de France 2024 Odds, Picks & Predictions
The 2024 Tour de France begins on Saturday, June 29. It will finish three weeks later on July 21. The 111th installment of the prestigious cycling event will have a much different look and feel. The first four stages of the event will unofficially be a Tour de Italy, with the Grand Depart beginning in Florence, Italy.
This is the 100th anniversary of the first Italian winner in the race, as Ottavio Bottecchia secured a win back in 1924. Bottecchia also returned in 1925 with a victory. In addition to Italy, Stage 1 will go from Florence to Rimini, passing through the micronation of San Marino, the 14th different country all-time to be included in the Tour de France route. The race will eventually reach France in Stage 4, which goes from Pinerolo to Valloire.
The 2024 route consists of five summit finishes and 59 kilometers of individual time trailing. It will not end in its traditional run down the Champs-Elysees in Paris for the first time since 1975. Due to the 2024 Summer Olympics also being in Paris this summer, the 2024 Tour de France will end in the coastal city of Nice along the Mediterranean Sea.
The 2024 Tour de France can be viewed or streamed on Fubo and Peacock from Saturday, June 29 through July 21. Here are our top 2024 Tour de France picks and predictions.
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2024 Tour de France Best Bets
Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook | All wagers are for 1 unit
Primoz Roglic – Outright Winner (+750)
We have 176 cyclists in the field for the world’s premier cycling event, but really, all eyes will be on Denmark’s Jonas Vingegaard (+220). The 27-year-old is looking to secure his third consecutive Tour de France title. Vingegaard is looking to become the first winner of three consecutive Tour de France races since Chris Froome of the United Kingdom in 2015, 2016 and 2017. Froome is also a four-time winner of the prestigious race, posting a victory for Team Sky in 2013, too. Froome is in the field this season, too, with some rather long odds at (+10000). Anybody feeling lucky?
While the Visma-Lease bike team rider Vingegaard seems like a great pick for the 2024 installment, he is not the favorite. That’s likely because he was hospitalized for 12 days after suffering several broken ribs, a fractured collarbone and a punctured lung in a crash that collected several riders in the fourth stage of Itzulia Basque Country in northern Spain back in April. In addition, support rider Sepp Kuss was ruled out for the 2024 Tour de France, as he has not fully recovered from COVID-19. Bart Lemmens will step into Kuss’ role, making his first-ever Tour de France appearance. Vingegaard’s fitness is in question since he hasn’t raced competitively since that wreck in Spain, and now his support system has taken a hit. Kuss won last season’s Vuelta a Espana, and it was announced just last week he would be part of the team to try and get Vingegaard to a third straight victory.
The wreck in Spain also claimed Primoz Roglic (+750) and Remco Evenepoel (+2000), other cyclists with rather short odds for this year’s Tour de France. Roglic has the next-best odds behind Vingegaard. Roglic claimed an impressive victory at the Criterium du Dauphine in June, quelling any fears about his fitness following the crash in Basque Country. It was his second win in three years in the eight-day race through the Rhone-Alpes mountain region.
The overall race favorite is Tadej Pogacar (-220), who came up short in his battle with the Slovenian Roglic at the Criterium du Dauphine. The Giro d’Italia winner is aiming for his third win at the Tour de France. He was a back-to-back winner in 2020 and 2021 for UAE Team Emirates, and he is looking to get that yellow jersey and championship in the end. There is just no value in risking more than two times your potential return and eating that much chalk.
Yes, Vingegaard has a ton of questions surrounding his fitness and his support system, but Roglic is a strong value for the chance to 7.5x your wager. He held off Pogacar at the Criterium du Dauphine and is a solid value to win his first-ever Tour de France. If you’re adventurous, Evenepoel should be good to go despite a shoulder issue suffered in that crash in Spain. For the chance to multiply your bet by 20 times, he is worth taking a flier on for a small-unit wager.
And if Pogacar and/or Vingegaard scare you too much, or you’re just a little bit on the conservative side, Roglic for a podium finish at plus-money is still a pretty nice play, too.
- Best Bet: Primoz Roglic (+750)
- Contender: Jonas Vingegaard (+200)
- Longshot Bet: Remco Evenepoel (+2000)
Stage 1 Bet
As a bonus, we’ll make a play on Stage 1 from Florence to Rimini, too. This play might make bettors of the above selections a little nervous. This is the place to bet on Tadej Pogacar at +200, as he is coming off the Giro d’Italia and will feel right at home firing out of the chute in Florence. For the chance to double up, Pogacar is a tremendous play here to secure the yellow jersey after Stage 1.
Best Prop Bets
Evenepoel has some question marks after suffering a shoulder injury in his crash in Spain back in April. He should be able to challenge for victory in Nice, as long as his fitness is truly 100%. All indications point to that being the case. As such, while he is a rather long shot to win the race, he is not priced out of line for a top-10 finish.
The same holds for Egan Bernal, the 2019 winner for Team Ineos. The Colombian racer might not reclaim glory with a run back to the front for a second-ever Tour de France title, but he should be able to record a top-10 finish and is a solid value at plus-money.
- Remco Evenepoel – Top 10 Finish (-125)
- Egan Bernal – Top 10 Finish (+125)
- Primoz Roglic – Podium Finish (Top 3) (+110)
Daniel E. Dobish is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Daniel, check out his archive and follow him @danieledobish.