WNBA Picks & Predictions: +EV Best Bets for Sunday (6/28)
With four games on the WNBA slate today, you’ll want to check out the Market-based EV page for some of the best WNBA picks on the board.
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Sunday’s Best +EV WNBA Picks
(All bets are for one unit unless otherwise stated.)
Arike Ogunbowale Under 2.5 Assists (+125 at Hard Rock Bet)
- Fair Value: +112
- Market EV: +6%
Arike Ogunbowale has recorded at least three assists in just one of her last three games. She had just two assists against Las Vegas and has only hit at least three assists in 50% of games this season.
While the fair value for the under is +112, you can bet on her to under 2.5 assists at +125 on Hard Rock Bet. That’s a massive 6% positive-expected-value play, and a play you’ll absolutely want to consider for today’s slate of games.
A’ja Wilson Under 2.5 Assists (+125 at Hard Rock Bet)
- Fair Value: +117
- Market EV: +4%
A’ja Wilson is coming off a zero-assist game against the Dallas Wings. Today, she’s facing the Chicago Sky, against whom she’s averaged just 1.9 assists per game over her last 15 games.
At Hard Rock Bet, you can bet on Wilson to go under 2.5 assists at +125. The fair value is +117. This is another strong 5% positive-expected-value play.
Stack these up, and over time, you’ll more than likely see positive results.
Paige Bueckers Over 6.5 Assists (+127 at DraftKings Sportsbook)
- Fair Value: +120
- Market EV: +3%
Paige Bueckers has hit the under in two consecutive games. But if you zoom out, she’s nailed this line in three of her last five games. Bueckers has added at least eight assists against Minnesota in two of her first five games against them. In the other three, she dished out just two assists per game.
At +127 odds, I’d take a chance that she earns at least seven assists in this one. The fair value is +120, giving this play a 3% positive expected value. She’s hit this line in 50% of her last 20 games, so she’ll likely hover around this number tonight.