WNBA Picks & Predictions: +EV Best Bets for Sunday (8/16)
Let’s enjoy today’s WNBA three-game slate with some positive-EV bets. You can find the best bets available using the Market-based EV page. It shows you all of the most valuable WNBA picks and props when compared to the rest of the market.
I have shared three of my favorite bets below, but feel free to add even more wagers to your portfolio using the Market-based EV page.
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Sunday’s Best +EV WNBA Picks
All bets are for one unit unless otherwise stated
Flau’jae Johnson Under 3.5 Rebounds (+138 at Kalshi)
- Fair Value: +121
- Market EV: +8%
Flau’jae Johnson has recorded four rebounds in two consecutive games. However, she’s only hit this line in two of her last five games. She grabbed four defensive rebounds in her last game, but hadn’t done that since mid-August before that. In three of her last four games, Johnson has not recorded an offensive rebound.
Ultimately, there’s value in betting on Johnson to go under 3.5 rebounds on Kalshi at +138. The market value is currently at +121, giving this a positive EV of 8%. This is one of the best plays you’ll find on the board today. Get it while you can.
Azura Stevens Under 1.5 Assists (+130 at Fliff)
- Fair Value: +115
- Market EV: +7%
The Chicago forward has recorded at least two assists in 60% of games this season. Azura Stevens had at least two assists in seven of her last 10 games entering tonight’s contest.
However, Stevens had just one assist against Golden State, and three of her last five games have ended with no more than one assist. She’s also averaged fewer than two assists per game in her last 15 games against Seattle.
The under looks enticing, and you can bet on it at +130 on Fliff tonight. That’s a 7% market EV.
Natasha Mack Over 6.5 Points (+110 at Hard Rock Bet)
- Fair Value: -101
- Market EV: +6%
Natasha Mack has scored at least seven points in 67% of games this season. She’s also hit this line in back-to-back games entering this one and scored 16 points in her lone meeting against the Fire.
Yet, you can bet on Mack to score at least seven points at +110 on Hard Rock Bet. The fair value is -101. That’s a 6% positive expected value play and a bet you’ll certainly want to consider for tonight’s slate.
After all, Mack has shot over 60% from the field over her last 10 games.