WNBA Picks & Predictions: +EV Best Bets for Thursday (10/29)
We’re headed to Game 6 of the WNBA Finals. The Golden State Valkyries lead the series 3-2 and have a chance to finish off the Dream on the road in an afternoon tip-off. Let’s add a few Market-based EV WNBA picks for today’s matchup. Remember, again, the game begins at 12:30 pm ET and will be on Peacock.
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Thursday’s Best +EV WNBA Picks
(All bets are for one unit unless otherwise stated.)
Kiah Stokes Over 9.5 Rebounds (+141 at Novig)
- Fair Value: +122
- Market EV: +8%
In this series, Kiah Stokes has finished with at least 11 rebounds in three out of five games. She came close in Game 5, grabbing eight rebounds. Still, Stokes has nailed this line in six of her last 10 postseason games, averaging 10.2 rebounds per game during that stretch.
At Novig, her over is set at +141, while the fair value is +122. This is an 8% positive-expected-value play. I’d recommend grabbing this one if you can.
Allisha Gray Over 20.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (+127 at Novig)
- Fair Value: +109
- Market EV: +8%
Allisha Gray has struggled over the last few games. She has averaged 17.6 combined points + rebounds + assists over her last five games and earned just 10 combined points + rebounds + assists in Game 4 and 11 in Game 5. She’s hit the over in 73% of games in 2026, including twice this series.
For a bet she’s hit 73% of the time this season, getting +127 odds at Novig is pretty awesome. Let’s hope Gray has a better showing in a do-or-die game. Take her over if you get the chance.
Rhyne Howard Under 4.5 Rebounds (-110 at ProphetX)
- Fair Value: -124
- Market EV: +6%
Rhyne Howard has hit this line in three of her last five games. Ultimately, the Valkyries rank fifth in the WNBA in rebounds allowed to guards this season. They’re also first in the WNBA in points allowed on the defensive end. This could be a slow game, with neither team wanting to make a mistake. That would mean fewer shots and fewer rebounds.
At 6% market EV, I’m on the under today.