WNBA Picks & Predictions: +EV Best Bets for Thursday (7/16)
There are two intriguing matchups on the WNBA schedule tonight. Let’s find some value using the Market-based EV page. The more value we can land, the better chance we’ll have of earning long-term profit. Check out some of our top WNBA picks below.
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Thursday’s Best +EV WNBA Picks
(All bets are for one unit unless otherwise stated.)
Sabrina Ionescu Over 4.5 Rebounds (+142 at DraftKings Sportsbook)
- Fair Value: +120
- Market EV: +10%
Sabrina Ionescu has added at least five rebounds in only 31% of games this season. That said, she’s hit this line in 10 out of 13 games against the Dallas Wings. She’s nailed this line in 77% of games against the Wings, averaging 4.6 defensive rebounds and nearly one offensive rebound per game.
Meanwhile, you can still get Ionescu to haul in at least five rebounds at +142 on DraftKings Sportsbook. The fair value is just +120, and the market EV is 10%. It’s one of the best plays on the board, and it’s also plus-money. Give Ionescu a shot.
Azzi Fudd Over 2.5 Made Three-Pointers (+164 at DraftKings Sportsbook)
- Fair Value: +157
- Market EV: +3%
Azzi Fudd has drained at least two threes in back-to-back games entering this one. In addition, she’s drained at least three three-pointers in four of her last six games and has shot at least 38% in four of those six games. Fudd has also attempted over six threes a night over the last 10 games and has taken at least seven threes in three of her last four games.
You can bet on Fudd to add at least three three-pointers at +164 odds on DraftKings Sportsbook. The fair value is +157. That’s a solid 3% positive expected value play. If you can stack these plays up, you’ll more than likely see progress in your betting journey long-term.
Bridget Carleton Over 3.5 Rebounds (+110 at Hard Rock Bet)
- Fair Value: +104
- Market EV: +3%
Bridget Carleton has added just three rebounds in each of her last two games. Yet, she’s still averaged at least four rebounds in six of her last 10 games. Over her last 10 games, Carleton has averaged nearly 32 minutes, three defensive rebounds and one offensive rebound per game.
Still, you can bet on Carleton to gain at least four rebounds at +110 odds on Hard Rock Bet. The fair value is +104. This is another 3% positive-expected-value bet, and a bet you should absolutely consider for tonight’s betting portfolio.