WNBA Picks & Predictions: +EV Best Bets for Thursday (9/17)
The WNBA is back in action after a nearly three-week hiatus. With five games on the slate, I decided to check out the Market-based EV page for some of the best-value WNBA picks on the board. Check them out below.
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Thursday’s Best +EV WNBA Picks
(All bets are for one unit unless otherwise stated.)
Rhyne Howard Over 18.5 Points (+125 at ProphetX)
- Fair Value: +108
- Market EV: +8%
Rhyne Howard has added at least 19 points in seven of her last 10 games. In those 10 games, Howard has attempted 16.2 field goals and 9.7 threes per game. Meanwhile, she’ll face a Connecticut Sun squad ranked ninth in the WNBA in points allowed to guards this season.
Yet, you can bet on Howard to score at least 19 points at +125 on ProphetX - an 8% market EV. The fair value on this prop is +108, so this is easily one of the best plays you’ll find on the board tonight.
Arike Ogunbowale Under 2.5 Rebounds (+133 at Novig)
- Fair Value: +116
- Market EV: +8%
Arike Ogunbowale will face a Los Angeles Sparks team that is pretty poor on the glass against guards, ranking 13th in rebounds allowed to guards this season.
Ogunbowale has added at least three rebounds in five of her last 10 games and has hit this line in 60% of her last 20 games. Still, she hasn’t earned more than two rebounds in three of her last four games and has actually hit this line in only 41% of games this year. Ogunbowale also had two rebounds in her last game against the Sparks.
You can bet on Ogunbowale to go under 2.5 rebounds at +133 on Novig. The fair value is +116. This is another 8% play to consider.
Jordin Canada Under 10.5 Points (+115 at NoVig)
- Fair Value: +100
- Market EV: +8%
Jordin Canada has scored at least 11 points against the Connecticut Sun in only 43% of her last 14 head-to-head matchups. Additionally, she’s hit this line in only 45% of her last 20 games. With a large sample size, she’s consistently struggling to reach at least 11 points.
Canada likes to drive around the rim, but Connecticut is typically good at defending around the net.
You can bet on Canada to go under 10.5 points at +115 on Novig. The fair value is stuck at +100. It’s another 8% play.