2020 NFC East Over/Under Win Totals Predictions

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The NFC East was widely considered the most disappointing division in the NFL last year. Just nine wins were good enough to win the division, and the division champion Eagles were bounced in the Wild Card round of the playoffs.

As a result of the poor play across the division, two teams have new head coaches (Redskins and Cowboys). In addition, two teams have top-four draft picks (Redskins and Giants) in the upcoming draft. Is any team in the NFC East in store for a rebound season?

This is the fifth of an eight-part series where we break down the best season win total bets of every division. And here are all of our 2020 NFL Over/Under Win Totals Predictions. These odds are courtesy of BetMGM.

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Dallas Cowboys (Over 9.5 +100, Under 9.5 -120) 

The Dallas Cowboys’ roster is going to look quite different in 2020. However, perhaps no offseason move will have more influence on the upcoming season than the firing of Jason Garrett and the hiring of new head coach Mike McCarthy. McCarthy has announced he will retain Kellen Moore as the offensive coordinator, but Mike Nolan will replace Rod Marinelli as defensive coordinator.

Marinelli will have a lot of new players with experience to integrate into the team’s defense. Dallas lost Robert Quinn, Maliek Collins, and Jeff Heath in the offseason. They are replaced by two former All-Pro players in Gerald McCoy and Dontari Poe. In addition, they added safety Ha Ha Clinton-Dix on a one-year contract.

On the offensive side, the Cowboys seem to have placated two of their top superstars — for now. They gave Amari Cooper a five-year extension, and they put an exclusive franchise tag on Dak Prescott while they negotiate a long-term deal. Dallas has the No. 17 pick in the draft. Look for them to either add a wide receiver to take the pressure off Cooper or a top cornerback to make up for the loss of Byron Jones.

For the Cowboys to hit the over on their season win total, they would need to go 10-6 or better. The bad news is they have done that just three times in the last decade. The good news is that two of those seasons came with Prescott at quarterback. Plus, the Cowboys once again get to play two games each against the Giants and Redskins.

I trust new coach Mike McCarthy to come back energized and refreshed after a year off and guide Dallas to double-digit wins and a division title.

Verdict: Take Dallas OVER 9.5 wins

New York Giants (Over 6 -115, Under 6 -106)

New York’s odds are unique in that they give bettors an opportunity to push with six wins. Thus, bettors need to be firm in their stance that the Giants will go 7-9 or better or 5-11 or worse in order to cash a bet.

It’s clear that the Giants prioritized upgrading the defensive side of the ball in the offseason. They signed cornerback James Bradberry along with linebackers Blake Martinez and Kyler Fackrell. In addition, they placed a franchise tag on Leonard Williams and will look to get more than just a half a sack that they got from him last year.

The Giants are in an interesting spot at No. 4 in the draft. New York may potentially listen to trade offers from teams interested in moving up for a quarterback. If they find the right trade partner, they may still be able to get the player they want while acquiring more draft capital. Look for the Giants to continue to bolster their defense with a player like Clemson linebacker Isaiah Simmons, or they could select one of the draft’s top offensive linemen.

Acquiring more draft picks would make a lot of sense for the Giants, given how many holes they have. The Giants still need an effective pass rusher, and adding one would, in turn, help their secondary.

The Giants’ win total comes down to the development of quarterback Daniel Jones and if he can continue to make strides in 2020. New York finished 4-12 last year. Are they really capable of scratching out three more wins this year?

Verdict: Pass, lean UNDER 6 wins

Philadelphia Eagles (Over 9.5 -106, Under 9.5 -115)

The Philadelphia Eagles are another NFC East team that prioritized defense in the offseason. The most impactful move was trading for shutdown corner Darius Slay. In addition to Slay, the Eagles signed Javon Hargrave, Nickell Robey-Coleman, and Will Parks.

The fact that the Eagles did not address the wide receiver position in the offseason is very puzzling. In the Wild Card loss to the Seahawks, the Eagles’ offense scored just nine points and had just three catches from a wide receiver. Granted, Philadephia is likely banking on healthier seasons from Alshon Jeffery and DeSean Jackson. In addition, they may also add to their receiving corps with the No. 21 pick in the draft.

At first glance, it appears the Eagles will need a solid divisional record to surpass 9.5 wins. Philadelphia hosts the Rams, Seahawks, Ravens, and Saints. They also travel to San Francisco and Green Bay, and they also face what should be much-improved teams in Arizona and Cleveland.

Though the Eagles won nine games and the NFC East title last year, they give bettors no confidence that they can stay healthy enough all year to compete for ten wins. Philadelphia has a lack of depth on both the offensive and defensive lines, so they can ill afford injuries in the trenches. In addition, the losses of veterans Malcolm Jenkins and Jason Peters may hurt team chemistry more than people realize.

In the end, a brutal schedule and a lack of offensive explosiveness will be Philadephia’s undoing.

Verdict: Take Philadelphia UNDER 9.5 wins

Washington Redskins (Over 5 -110, Under 5 -110)

Washington’s odds give bettors yet another opportunity to push. For the over to hit, the Redskins need to be at least three wins better than last year. Can new head coach Ron Rivera spark that much of a resurgence in the nation’s capital?

There are too many question marks to feel confident in a bet on Washington this early in the offseason. Will the Redskins select the best defensive player in the draft in Chase Young with the No. 2 pick? Or do the Redskins already have plans to move on from quarterback Dwayne Haskins as he enters year two?

Also, who is going to play left tackle for Washington? As of now, Trent Williams is still on the roster, but are the Redskins looking at trading him after a whole season of contract disputes last year?

Washington added depth on offense with running backs J.D. McKissic and Peyton Barber. How will they be involved in the offense? What can we expect from Derrius Guice after just 42 rushing attempts last year?

With so much uncertainty surrounding the Redskins entering 2020, I am more than happy to look elsewhere when it comes to wagering on season win totals.

Verdict: Pass

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Mike Spector is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Mike, check out his archive and follow him @MikeSpector01.