We're onto the knockout rounds of the 2026 World Cup, and we've already seen one heavyweight in Germany depart the tournament early in its upset loss to Paraguay on Monday evening. Tournament favorites France (+270) are in action on Tuesday, as part of a three-game soccer slate. Let's dive into each of the contests and take a look at my top 2026 World Cup picks for June 30th’s game France vs. Sweden.
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Tuesday's Best 2026 World Cup Picks & Predictions: France vs. Sweden
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
France (-330) vs. Sweden (+850), DRAW (+500) | O/U 3.5 (+115/-145)
2018 champions and 2022 runner-up France went a perfect 3-0-0 in their group, and this earns them a favorable first-round matchup against Sweden. The Swedes went 1-1-1 in Group F, and they're massive +500 underdogs to pull off the upset and move forward to the Round of 16. Kick-off is set for 5:00 p.m. ET from MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ.
Initially, I was looking for an angle to try and back Sweden in the +2.0 (-165) range, but I ultimately do not believe that they have the firepower to keep pace against this loaded French squad. Instead, I'll back the tournament favorites and lay the 1.5 goals.
France won all three group stage matches by at least two goals, and they're 8-3 against a line of -1.5 in their last 11 outings. Didier Deschamps' bunch has scored twice in 12 of their last 13 matches. It doesn't matter who stands opposite of "Les Bleus", they're going to find offensive success.
Factor in a potential travel disadvantage for Sweden, who spent its group stage time in Mexico and Texas, and they don't have many variables in their favor. I'm backing France -1.5.
Pick: France -1.5 (-130)
