College Football Bowl Game Projections & Predictions: Week 4 (2023)
It's never too early to talk about college football bowl games. And this season, I've developed a system to take a practical look ahead each and every week. I've reviewed the requirements and stipulations for every single bowl game, and I'm leveraging my projections, power rankings, and adjusted totals for all 133 FBS schools to come up with comprehensive college football bowl game projections. See below for my updated projections ahead of Week 4.
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College Football Bowl Game Projections: Week 4
| Game | Location | Team | Team | Date |
| Bahamas Bowl | Nassua, Bahamas | Florida International | Ball St. | 12/16 |
| New Orleans Bowl | New Orleans, LA | Western Kentucky | Coastal Carolina | 12/16 |
| Cure Bowl | Orlando, FL | Arkansas | South Alabama | 12/16 |
| New Mexico Bowl | Albuquerque, NM | Liberty | Fresno St. | 12/16 |
| Jimmy Kimmel L.A. Bowl | Inglewood, CA | Washington St. | Wyoming | 12/16 |
| Independence Bowl | Shreveport, LA | Kansas | Colorado | 12/16 |
| Myrtle Beach Bowl | Conway, SC | Middle Tennessee | Appalachian St. | 12/18 |
| Frisco Bowl | Frisco, TX | Georgia Southern | San Diego St. | 12/19 |
| Boca Raton Bowl | Boca Raton, FL | Georgia St. | Army | 12/21 |
| Gasparilla Bowl | Tampa, FL | Nebraska | Missouri | 12/22 |
| Camellia Bowl | Montgomery, AL | Eastern Michigan | Marshall | 12/23 |
| Birmingham Bowl | Birmingham, AL | Texas St. | Tennessee | 12/23 |
| Famous Idaho Potato Bowl | Boise, ID | Miami (OH) | Air Force | 12/23 |
| Armed Forces Bowl | Fort Worth, TX | UTSA | Brigham Young | 12/23 |
| 68 Ventures Bowl | Mobile, AL | Ohio | Louisiana | 12/23 |
| Las Vegas Bowl | Las Vegas, NV | Wisconsin | Oregon St. | 12/23 |
| Hawai’i Bowl | Honolulu, HI | Memphis | Boise St. | 12/23 |
| Quick Lane Bowl | Detroit, MI | Illinois | Toledo | 12/26 |
| First Responder Bowl | Dallas, TX | West Virginia | South Carolina | 12/26 |
| Guaranteed Rate Bowl | Phoenix, AZ | Texas Tech | Rutgers | 12/26 |
| Military Bowl | Annapolis, MD | Troy | SMU | 12/27 |
| Duke’s Mayo Bowl | Charlotte, NC | Wake Forest | Kentucky | 12/27 |
| Holiday Bowl | San Diego, CA | Louisville | UCLA | 12/27 |
| Texas Bowl | Houston, TX | TCU | Ole Miss | 12/27 |
| Fenway Bowl | Boston, MA | Mississippi St. | Rice | 12/28 |
| Pinstripe Bowl | Bronx, NY | North Carolina St. | Minnesota | 12/28 |
| Pop-Tarts Bowl | Orlando, FL | UCF | Clemson | 12/28 |
| Alamo Bowl | San Antonio, TX | Kansas St. | USC | 12/28 |
| Gator Bowl | Jacksonville, FL | Syracuse | Florida | 12/29 |
| Sun Bowl | El Paso, TX | Duke | Utah | 12/29 |
| Liberty Bowl | Memphis, TN | Cincinnati | Auburn | 12/29 |
| Cotton Bowl | Arlington, TX | Oregon | Tulane | 12/29 |
| Peach Bowl | Atlanta, GA | Ohio St. | Washington | 12/30 |
| Music City Bowl | Nashville, TN | Maryland | Texas A&M | 12/30 |
| Orange Bowl | Miami, FL | Miami (FL) | Notre Dame | 12/30 |
| Arizona Bowl | Tucson, AZ | Northern Illinois | UNLV | 12/30 |
| ReliaQuest Bowl | Tampa, FL | North Carolina | LSU | 01/01 |
| Fiesta Bowl | Glendale, AZ | Oklahoma | Penn St. | 01/01 |
| Citrus Bowl | Orlando, FL | Iowa | Alabama | 01/01 |
| Rose Bowl (CFP Semi) | Pasadena, CA | Texas | Michigan | 01/01 |
| Sugar Bowl (CFP Semi) | New Orleans, LA | Georgia | Florida St. | 01/01 |
| CFP Championship | Houston, TX | Georgia | Michigan | 01/08 |
What is Betting Against the Spread?
Betting "against the spread" refers to the act of choosing the winning team based on a numeric handicap placed on the team that oddsmakers believe is superior, rather than picking the outright winner. For example, if the Rams face the Bengals, and oddsmakers set the spread at Rams -3.5, you would need Los Angeles to win by 4 or more points in order to cash your Rams bet.
What is an Over/Under Bet?
Over/Under is a wager based on how many points you think will be scored in a specific game. Oddsmakers set the total, and bettors decide whether the final score will be higher or lower than that number. If an Over/Under is set at 44.5 points and you bet Over, you will need the combined score of both teams to be 45 points or higher to win your bet.
What is a Moneyline Bet?
A moneyline bet involves choosing which team you believe will win a specific matchup. The moneyline favorite carries a minus designation, like -130. This means that you need to wager $130 to earn a $100 profit. Conversely, the underdog carries a plus designation, like +110. This means that you win $110 in profit on a $100 bet.
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