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Missouri Tigers vs Arkansas Razorbacks Odds & Game Pick (2021)

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The Missouri Tigers are coming off a huge win against Florida to earn a bowl game under head coach Eliah Drinkwitz for the first time. Missouri headed to overtime against Florida and scored a touchdown after Florida scored theirs in the first overtime. Instead of tying it up, Drinkwitz and Missouri went for two and converted on a gutsy call that sent Missouri home with a huge win.

Now Missouri will look to replicate that success against a very good Arkansas team that just gave Alabama a run for their money last week in a loss. The Razorbacks are currently 7-4 on the year and had won three straight before the loss to Alabama.

Arkansas has played in three straight one-possession games but are currently major favorites at home in this game against Missouri. Can the Razorbacks snap out of it and get a big win before bowl season?

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Details

  • Opening Line: Arkansas -14.5, O/U 62.5
  • Current Line: Arkansas -14.5, O/U 62.5
  • Last meeting: December 5, 2020, Missouri 50, Arkansas 48

Overview 

The Missouri Tigers have really turned the corner this year. After being known as one of the worst teams in the SEC, they’ve turned the tables to be known as one of the mediocre teams in the league instead. The Tigers have won three of their last four games against Vanderbilt, South Carolina, and Florida, with their only loss in that four-game time frame to an undefeated Georgia team.

Offensively, with Connor Bazelak back in action, the Tigers look so much better. The run game is picking it up while the offensive line has done their part throughout the season. Bazelak isn’t going to wow you in the box score but he is a reliable quarterback that will complete 60 or more percent of passes per game.

The defense, on the other hand, needs to work on their rushing defense as they’ve allowed 235.4 yards per game on the ground this season. This is also due to poor tackling. The pass rush has been effective this season, however, helping the Tigers allow just 211.9 yards passing per game.

For Arkansas, K.J. Jefferson is leading the Razorbacks with 20 touchdowns and just three interceptions on the year at quarterback. He’s a quarterback that has a linebacker build and is tough to tackle. He also makes really good decisions with the ball and rarely turns it over.

Defensively, Arkansas has been at their weakest in the secondary but overall have allowed just 24.6 points per game on 376.4 yards per game. That should ultimately get the job done. This is the game where Arkansas really needs to prove themselves and win big on Friday.

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Trends 

  • Razorbacks are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
  • Under is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater.

Bottom Line 

Arkansas looked extremely solid on the offensive end last week against Alabama. Sometimes there were drives that stalled but Arkansas always found a way to get back in the game whether it was on the offensive end or defensive end.

And while it would be great to hype up Missouri for their recent success, they’re still not worry of it. With three wins against bottom tier teams in the SEC, they’ve dug themselves out of the bottom of the SEC. Arkansas is currently a top 25 team in college football and are one of the best teams in the SEC.

On Friday, Arkansas finally puts together a full blowout against an opponent, at home.

Pick: Arkansas -14.5 (-110)

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Jason Radowitz is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Jason, check out his archive and follow him @Jason_Radowitz.