NFL Week 1 Betting Systems Odds, Picks & Predictions (2024)
By now, you’ve heard about our Betting Systems, which have over 20,000 different systems. With these systems, you can see lifetime net units, win percentages, records, and the ROI for a certain system.
We’ve been hitting all year on the NBA, MLB, and college football. So we’ll give it a go with the NFL season, too.
Here are three betting systems you’ll want to consider for Sunday’s NFL slate.
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Week 1 Best NFL Betting System Plays
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Los Angeles Rams vs. Detroit Lions
- +209.33 units over the last year
The first system we’ll look at is the NFL – rec yds – OVER system. Ultimately, this is a system for taking Over on receiving yards. The system input is as follows:
- Last 5 Games: Over in 3 to 5
- Last 10 Games: Over in 4 to 10
- Last 15 Games: Over in 6 to 15
- Last 20 Games: Over in 9 to 20
This system hit 63% of the time last season and added a 19.3% ROI on 1,087 bets. That’s a profit of 209.83 units. This week, there will be 28 wagers for this system. If you’re looking to follow a system for the entire year, consider this one and play each bet in the whole season for the most realistic results.
That said, if I had to pick one, I like Amon-Ra St-Brown to earn at least 85 receiving yards. He’s added at least 85 in four of his last five games and added 110 yards receiving on January 14 against this same Rams team.
Pick: Amon-Ra St. Brown Over 84.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Dallas Cowboys vs. Cleveland Browns
PASS TD V1: NFL Passing Touchdowns Over/Under
- +22.40 units over the last year
The Pass TD V1 system has a 23.3% ROI on 96 bets. It has a smaller sample size than other systems, but it’s been red-hot since last season. This system looks at quarterbacks who have consistently gone under their passing touchdowns prop.
- Last 5 Games: Over in 0 to 2
- Last 10 Games: Over in 0 to 4
- Last 15 Games: Over in 0 to 6
- Last 20 Games: Over in 0 to 8
Deshaun Watson is one of 12 upcoming bets in the system. Watson didn’t face the Cowboys head-to-head last year, but he only threw two touchdown passes in two of six games before he was sidelined. He’s also hit this prop in just four of his last 12 games. I’ll gladly take his Under at -160 odds.
Pick: Deshaun Watson Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-160)
Minnesota Vikings vs. New York Giants
NFL ML -110 to -155: NFL Moneyline
- +8.84 units over the last year
What if I told you that picking the favorite was profitable last season?
You can’t pick just any favorite. The NFL ML -110 to -155 proved that picking teams in between -110 and -155 on the moneyline earned a 9% ROI last season on 98 bets.
This weekend, three teams fit the description: the Browns, Vikings, and Texans.
While I’m not super high on the Browns (we’re going against Watson!), I still like the Vikings and Texans to win outright.
The Vikings play the Giants on the road but didn’t even score a passing touchdown last year. On the other hand, there’s been a lot of talk about Anthony Richardson’s play in the preseason. He will start for the Colts against CJ Stroud and the Texans.
I’d take a chance with the Vikings and Texans from this system.