Top Odds & Pick for UFC Fight Night: Thiago Santos vs. Jamahal Hill (8/6)
Letâs check out our top odds and pick for Saturdayâs UFC Fight Night between Thiago Santos and Jamahal Hill.
UFC Strategy & Advice
- How to Bet UFC Events
- How to Make a UFC Moneyline Bet
- How to Bet UFC Total Rounds
- How to Bet UFC Method of Victory
- How to Bet UFC Method & Round Combos
- How to Bet UFC Parlays
- How to Make UFC Exotic Bets
- How to Bet UFC Over/Unders
Receive a free bet of up to $1,500 from Caesars Sportsbook with First Bet Insurance >>
Betting Profile: Thiago Santos (22-10-0)
Last Five Fights (L-W-L-L-L)
One of the few fighters on the planet to push Jon Jones to the brink in a 2019 title fight (split decision), the result was the first loss of a slide where Santos has now lost four of five, most recently to Magomed Ankalaev in March.
From a metric standpoint, Santos has edges in both grappling and striking defense.
Betting Profile: Jamahal Hill (10-1-0)
Last Five Fights (W-W-L-W-D)
Winner of two straight since losing to Paul Craig in June of 2021, Hill has ended three of his last four inside of two rounds via KO/TKO and has thus far shown a complete lack of ground game. While that might not be a concern here, Santos would be wise to press the issue, as Hill has yet to record a takedown or submission since joining the UFC.
Hill has a sizeable edge in striking, with nearly double the significant strikes landed per minute and 50% more knockdowns per 15 minutes.
Bottom Line
A closer look at Santosâ losses shows that in addition to the recent loss against a title prospect in Ankalaev, Santosâ losses have also come against a recent champ in Glover Teixeira and contender Aleksandar Rakic. While Hillâs striking might win out, I have this fight much closer to even, as Santos is still a fighter that can win in the UFC despite the one killer after another heâs been dealt as of late.
Best Bet: Thiago Santos (+220 via DraftKings)
Connect with sportsbooks to automatically sync your balances and bets >>
Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Google Podcasts | Stitcher | RadioPublic | Breaker | Castbox | Pocket Casts
Whether youâre new to sports betting or a betting pro, our How To Bet and Sports Betting Strategy and Advice pages are for you. You can get started with our Sports Betting 101 Section â including 10 Sports Betting Tips for Beginners â or head to more advanced sports betting strategies â like Key Numbers When Betting Against the Spread â to learn more.