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Washington Redskins at Buffalo Bills Odds & Game Pick

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This east coast battle features teams heading in very different directions down the stretch of this season. Washington fired their head coach a few weeks ago and have new-found energy on the field. However, this has resulted in just one win, which was against the Miami Dolphins. The Buffalo Bills are coming off a tough loss, but it was only their second of the season. While this team rarely wows you, they are in prime position to make a run at an AFC wild-card spot.

In what may be the least exciting matchup on paper this weekend, let’s take a closer look from a betting perspective and find some value.

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Redskins vs Bills Odds and Info

All odds taken from FanDuel Sportsbook.

  • Opening Lines: BUF -10.5, O/U 37.0
  • Moneyline: WAS: (+350) | BUF: (-430)
  • Spread: WAS: +9.5 (-110) | BUF: -9.5 (-110)
  • Total: 37 – Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)
  • Location: New Era Field – Buffalo, NY
  • Start Time: 1 pm ET
  • Coverage: FOX

Injuries

  • Washington Redskins: QB Case Keenum (Q), RB Adrian Peterson (Q), RB Chris Thompson (Q), TE Vernon Davis (Q), CB Quinton Dunbar (Q), Montae Nicholson (Q)
  • Buffalo Bills: OT Cody Ford (Q), LB Maurice Alexander (Q), CB Levi Wallace (Q), S Kurt Coleman (Q)

View consensus picks from 100+ experts for the Redskins at Bills >>

Overview

Washington has been a mess all season, from left tackle Trent Williams holding out to the firing of Jay Gruden. However, they have been a more respectable team since the firing of Gruden, with the offense committing to the run more often with Adrian Peterson and the defense holding opponents under 20 points in all three games. Still, they have just a single win on the season, which was a one-point victory over Miami. Coming into this game, there is a question mark at quarterback. The team continues to commit to Case Keenum being their starter, but with him in concussion protocol, it could be rookie Dwayne Haskins making his first career start. On the road in a hostile environment, it would be a tough matchup for Haskins, facing a defense that surrenders just 208.9 passing yards per game.

Buffalo has found their way to a 5-2 record, with their only two losses coming against the Eagles and Patriots. They also had a great chance at beating New England if Josh Allen did not leave hurt. While they are not exciting, they are getting the job done, playing it safe on offense and playing tight defense. At home, they have run the football well, averaging 142.3 rushing yards per game. Iron man Frank Gore has locked down that backfield most of this season, but electric rookie Devin Singletary is seeing his role grow while adding explosiveness to this offense, catching a 28-yard touchdown last week. However, averaging just 19.1 points this season, it could be a tall task for Buffalo to cover a 9.5-point spread. At just 1-3 against the spread at home this year, betting on this game isn’t the cakewalk that it may initially appear.

Trends

  • Washington is averaging 12.4 points per game (PPG) this season (No. 30 in the NFL).
  • Washington is surrendering 24.4 PPG this season (No. 19 in the NFL).
  • Washington is 2-5 against the spread (ATS) in its last seven games.
  • Buffalo is averaging 19.1 PPG this season (No. 24 in the NFL).
  • Buffalo is surrendering 17.4 PPG this season (T-No. 5 in the NFL).
  • Buffalo is 6-3 ATS in its last nine games.
  • The Bills lead the all-time series with the Redskins, 8-6.
  • Last Meeting: December 20, 2015 — The Redskins defeated the Bills, 35-25, at FedEx Field.

Prop Bet

All odds taken from FanDuel Sportsbook.

First Half Total: Under 19.5 (-115)
These are two teams that rank in the bottom half of the league in scoring offense, and the Bills’ stout defensive unit should make this a particularly low-scoring affair. It also looks like rookie quarterback Dwayne Haskins will be making his first career start, so a safe and slow start from Washington offensively is likely. Defensively, the Redskins have been surprisingly effective recently, holding opponents under 20 points in three consecutive games. With two weaker offenses and two defenses performing well, expect a slow, tight start to this game.

Bottom Line

Buffalo is the much better team in this game, and they get the benefit of playing at home in front of a rowdy crowd. However, the Bills have played a lot of bad teams this season, and they are still not putting up many points. In their wins, they are averaging only a +7.2-point differential. This includes games over the Jets, Giants, Bengals, Titans, and Dolphins. With Washington playing better on defense lately and having extra days to prepare for this game, I’m picking them to cover this spread.

Pick: Washington Redskins +9.5

FanDuel Sportsbook: View our review and access special sports betting offers >>

Check out our other NFL Sports Betting Guides for Week 9

Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars (+1.5)
Chicago Bears at Philadelphia Eagles (-4)
New York Jets at Miami Dolphins (+3.5)
Tennessee Titans at Carolina Panthers (-3.5)
Indianapolis Colts at Pittsburgh Steelers (+1)
Minnesota Vikings at Kansas City Chiefs (+2.5)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Seattle Seahawks (-5.5)
Detroit Lions at Oakland Raiders (-2.5)
Cleveland Browns at Denver Broncos (+4)
Green Bay Packers at Los Angeles Chargers (+3.5)
New England Patriots at Baltimore Ravens (+3)
Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants (+7)

Zach Brunner is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Zach, check out his archive and follow him @FantasyFlurry.