Skip to main content Skip to navigation Skip to footer

WNBA Picks & Predictions: Saturday (7/18)

WNBA Picks & Predictions: Saturday (7/18)

We ended up with only one bet last time due to a surprise injury, but it still cashed. Let's continue today with the best WNBA picks for today's slate.

Go premium to view top prop bets based on Cover Probability, Expected Value & Star Rating >>

WNBA First Basket Cheat Sheet featuring projected first basket scorers and betting insights for today's games.

Saturday’s Best WNBA Picks and Predictions

Last Time: 1-0 | Season: 12-11 | Odds courtesy of BetMGM

New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever

Starting off with the game of the day, the New York Liberty travel to Indiana, where the Fever are the hosts. Indiana sits around a 1.5-point underdog with the total hovering around 176.5 points. This should be must-watch TV. 

After an insane 45-point outing by Caitlin Clark, the Fever are coming off a 110-107 victory over the Seattle Storm yesterday. In their last seven games, the Fever are 5-2 with the best offense in the league. New York, meanwhile, appears to be going in the exact opposite direction. We discussed this last time, but they have been hit with the injury bug, and despite a bit better look tonight, they still own just the seventh-best offense and 10th-ranked defense over their last seven games, 10th in net rating. 

This line is simply not correct for how these two teams are playing right now. The Fever could be the hottest team in the country and you may argue that yesterday could take some wind out of their sails after leaving it all on the court, but I'd rather a home team who has played well than another that has lost three straight and is faltering. The wrong team is favored here.

Pick: Fever Moneyline (+110)


Washington Mystics vs. Golden State Valkyries

Another game tonight is the Washington Mystics traveling across the country to take on the Golden State Valkyries. The Valkyries are about 10-point favorites, with a total of around 147.5 points, a bit different from the 176.5 we saw earlier.

And it makes sense as to why. I use the seven-game sample a lot, and for Golden State, it's hard to argue against their performance. They're 7-0 with the best net rating and top defense by a mile. Surprisingly, though, Washington's is close behind in second during that period as well. What makes it interesting is that neither team has a top-half-ranked offense, with the Mystics at the bottom, 15th, over that same time frame. The Mystics' defense still holds serve on the road this year, ranking third in 12 such games, so I trust them to show out tonight. The spread feels about right, but the total still has room to drop. 

Pick: Under 147.5 Points (-110)


BettingPros App 3.0