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2022 RSM Classic Picks & Predictions: Best Longshot Bets

by November 16, 2022
2022 RSM Classic Picks & Predictions: Best Longshot Bets

With the Cadence Bank Houston Open in the rearview mirror, we look forward to this week’s RSM Classic in Sea Island, Georgia. The last event of the Fall swing, this week will see the last official tournament on TOUR until January.

Sea Island Golf Club has hosted this event annually since the tournament’s inception in 2010. Starting in 2015, this tournament has utilized both the Plantation Course and the Seaside Course at Sea Island.

ShotLink data is only available for the Seaside course, which is the primary track used throughout the week. Looking at the top of previous leaderboards, the metrics that predict the most success at this course include Greens in Regulation percentage (GIR%) and SG: Putting as the short track benefits players who can hit greens and get off them quickly.

Below, I will give out my two best longshot bets to win the 2022 RSM Classic.

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These plays are 0.2u and 0.1u, or 0.2% and 0.1% of your betting bankroll. Odds Courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook

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Andrew Putnam (+3500): 0.2u

The first golfer we are targeting this week is Andrew Putnam, who sits at 35/1. A fantastic putter and strong iron player, this course sets up perfectly for Putnam.

To kick off this season, he is 7-for-7 on made cuts with two T15 finishes. Putnam looked particularly sharp at the ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIP with his T2 finish.

On TOUR this season, he ranks 58th in GIR% and 36th in SG: Putting. These strong numbers are not outliers despite the smaller sample size, as he ranked inside the top 90 on TOUR in both GIR% and SG: Putting last year.

At Sea Island, Putnam is 2-for-4 on made cuts and finished in 12th place in 2014. Continuously finding himself near the top of leaderboards every week this season, Putnam is worth a play at 35/1 considering his past experience at Sea Island and his strong putting.

Justin Lower (+7000): 0.1u

The other golfer we are backing this week is Justin Lower, who is listed at 70/1. Entering this week ranked 24th in the FedEx Standings, Lower looks to continue his strong start to the season.

To kick off the season, Lower is 5-for-6 on made cuts with two T10 finishes, including his impressive T4 finish at the Fortinet Championship. A big reason for these strong results has been good iron play along with consistent putting.

Entering this week, Lower ranks 53rd on TOUR in GIR% and 46th in SG: Putting. These rankings are not outliers despite the smaller sample size, as he ranked inside the top 65 on TOUR in both GIR% and SG: Putting last season.

We are getting such a long number on Lower because he has missed the cut in each of his two appearances at Sea Island. However, his play so far this season has been extremely dialed in, particularly with hitting greens in regulation and getting off them quickly.

With his current form in mind, 70/1 is too long of a number for Lower considering his form.

Other Outright Winner Plays:

Best of luck!

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Tony Sartori is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Tony, check out his archive and follow him @tony_sartori.