With just hours to go before the start of the regular season, now is the time to lock in those player props. The props we will take a look include the American League and National League rookie of the year as well as some interesting props in the average categories.
AL Rookie of the Year (Eloy Jimenez +285)
Vladimir Guerrero is the betting favorite here at -120, but he is set to begin the year injured and then potentially in the minors. Eloy Jimenez, on the other hand, just signed a $43 million dollar contract that should ensure he starts the year with the big club. Jimenez will have an extra month and a half to pile up numbers making him an excellent value. Based on his minor league profile, Eloy should be good for a .285 average and 30 home runs. Take advantage of the fact that this line has not been adjusted to account for Vlad’s injury and the Blue Jays playing the service time game.
NL Rookie of the Year (Victor Robles +300)
There are not a lot of options that stand out in the National League. Robles is the betting favorite but still carries appealing +300 odds. The next three players in terms of odds are Fernando Tatis Jr. and Peter Alonso at +500, and Touki Toussaint at +600. Tatis and Toussaint will begin the year in the minors making Alonso the only true competition among these three. Alonso has the tools to be a threat but may not see an everyday role at first base. Though the power should develop over time, Robles is more of a four-tool threat at this point in his career. He has batting champ upside and should be active enough on the basepaths to be a rookie of the year favorite for the majority of the season.
Freddie Freeman (Over .295 Batting Average -115)
This is an easy one. Freeman has not hit under .300 in three seasons, and there is absolutely no reason to believe he will fail to do so in 2019. Average props often present the best values as they are not reliant on a player staying relatively healthy for the season. This one is no exception. The 15-cent juice here is the house’s take, as this one is essentially even odds or -105 at best. This is likely one of the best lines you are going to find, so strike while the iron is hot. The public is destined to move the odds on the over, so lock this one in before it is too late.
Ronald Acuna Jr. (Over .285 Batting Average -105)
This is another standout batting average prop. It is true that Acuna only hit .293 overall last season, so the low line on this prop is understandable. After said slow start, he boasted a .322 average after the All-Star break, which is more indicative of his plate discipline and upside. Acuna should easily eclipse the .285 batting average line here making this a tremendous value. The fact that the juice here is only five cents is ‘icing on the cake.’
Mookie Betts (Over .300 Batting Average -115)
This line is almost comical. Betts hit over .330 in every month of the 2018 season except for June (.290). A .303 hitter over his career, there is little reason to think this will not be an easy cover. The reigning MVP probably will not hit .346 again but should be good for at least a .305 batting average. Lock this one in while it is still on the board.
Jacob deGrom (Under 2.75 ERA -120)
Jacob deGrom is a career 2.67 ERA pitcher coming off of a historic Cy Young-winning season. deGrom sported an insane 1.70 ERA in 2018, and while he may not match that mark in 2019, covering the 2.75 line seems all but a certainty. The juice here has already shifted. This suggests that the early money has come in on the under. Lock this one in before the line changes again. This prop is too good of a value to pass up.