Ondrej Palat scored the game-winning goal in game five to extend the series and shift the Stanley Cup back to Tampa Bay. It was a 3-2 win for the Bolts, who may have stolen the momentum in the series as they’ll gear up to play in front of their home crowd for the final time this season. As for the Avalanche, they’ll take the ice for the second time in three nights with the opportunity to close out the pesky Lightning and hoist the Cup. Can they get it done at Amalie Arena tonight? Or will the back-to-back champs push the Avs to game seven?
Below I’ve put together this three-leg same game parlay that pays +650 over at DraftKings:
Colorado Avalanche (-115) vs. Tampa Bay Lightning (-105) O/U 6
(Puck Drop: 8:00 p.m. ET)
- Leg 1: Under 6.5 (-145)
- Leg 2: Avalanche Under 0.5 1P Goals (+125)
- Leg 3: Each Team Over 1.5 Goals (-185)
For starters, I’m backing the most influential player on the ice tonight. I feel comfortable saying Andrei Vasilevskiy is the best playoff goaltender that we’ve seen in years. The Russian-born netminder enters with a 2.54 GAA and 0.921 SV% over 22 games played this postseason. The chemistry that Vasilevskiy has with his defensemen is unparalleled in today’s game, and honestly, I think Tampa’s backend has been why they’ve made it this far into the playoffs. While the Lightning still boast plenty of talent up front, you can tell that they’ve really solidified their play in their own end and that’s what has carried them to the Stanley Cup.
Whatever John Cooper hammered into the penalty killers’ heads on Thursday’s off day, it worked as the Bolts held the Avalanche to 0/2 on the man-advantage. It’s a major, major factor in this series as six out of Colorado’s 18 goals (33.3%) in the series have come via the power play. Look for Tampa Bay to stay out of the box as much as possible, and if they can’t, their kill will be ready. I like for the Lightning to keep a clean first period for the third straight game. Additionally, I’m expecting Vasilevskiy to put on another goaltending clinic and for this game to go under 6.5 goals.
However, I think it’s too tall of a task to keep the Avalanche under two goals. They are the top scoring team in the playoffs this postseason, averaging 4.4 goals per game. They haven’t been held under two goals in any game this series and are averaging 3.6 goals per game over the first five contests. On the flip side, I like for the Lightning’s crowd to propel their offense to finding the back of the net two-plus times. Darcy Kuemper has been serviceable this postseason, but not exceptional. He comes in with a 2.69 GAA and just a 0.898 SV% through 15 games played.
There we have it! Good luck tonight and let’s hope for a game seven so we can watch these two elite hockey teams one last time.
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