Our team of expert analysts has their fingers on the pulse, forecasting the frontrunners for offensive and defensive rookie of the year, players to rack up the most regular season rookie receiving yards, and a variety of tantalizing over/under prop bets.
This year’s rookie class features a standout crop of prospects that are poised to make an immediate impact in their debut seasons. From high-flying quarterbacks like the Indianapolis Colts’ Anthony Richardson to dynamic running backs such as the Detroit Lions’ Jahmyr Gibbs and exciting wide receivers like the Los Angeles Chargers’ Quentin Johnston, this season promises to be a thrilling one for football fans and bettors alike.
Best 2023 NFL Rookie Futures Bets
Here are the 2023 NFL rookie futures bets our featured analysts are making for offensive rookie of the year, defensive rookie of the year, most regular season rookie receiving yards, and several over/under prop bets.
Offensive Rookie of the Year Best Bets
| ANALYST | PLAYER | ODDS | Sportsbook |
| Erickson | Anthony Richardson | 700 | FD |
| Fitz | Jahmyr Gibbs | 900 | DK |
| DBro | Quentin Johnston | 2000 | DK |
| Joe | Bijan Robinson | 300 | FD |
Anthony Richardson (QB – IND): +700
Colts rookie quarterback Anthony Richardson is the best bet to win Offensive Rookie of the Year at +700 odds. Richardson brings an exceptional level of athleticism to the table, and with the right coaching staff, his sky-high potential can be fully realized. In fact, it wouldn’t be surprising to see him secure the Day 1 starting position, especially with Gardner Minshew as his only competition. Even if the Colts don’t have a strong W-L record, Richardson’s flashes of play compared to his rookie counterparts will put him over the top. Among all the rookie quarterbacks, Richardson has the most favorable landing spot in Indianapolis. The last two QB ROY winners — Justin Herbert and Kyler Murray – combined for a 11-19-1 record (55%). Murray averaged just 232 passing yards per game but averaged 34 yards per game on the ground. Murray also beat out a 1st-round rookie 1,000-yard rusher in Josh Jacobs and 1,000-yard receiver A.J. Brown en route to the 2019 OROY award with 53% of the votes. Considering these factors, he stands out as my favorite longshot bet to win Offensive Rookie of the Year in a quarterback-driven betting market.
– Andrew Erickson
Jahmyr Gibbs (RB – DET): +900
Bijan Robinson is the favorite, but it’s not such a slam dunk that I’m willing to eat the chalk at low odds. I prefer the +900 price on Jahmyr Gibbs, an electric talent who’s ticketed for a substantial role in an up-and-coming Lions offense with a strong O-line and a sharp coordinator in Ben Johnson.
– Pat Fitzmaurice
Quentin Johnston (WR – LAC): +2000
With the last two winners of this award coming from the wide receiver position, we could be seeing a changing of the guard after quarterbacks and running backs historically have dominated this award. Johnston is the easy longshot to root for locked inside what will be a top 5-10 pace and scoring offense led by Justin Herbert. If Keenan Allen or Mike Williams misses any time, it’s easy to see this bet paying off. Expect Kellen Moore to prominently feature a receiver that ranked sixth in YAC per reception and 11th in missed tackled forced (per PFF) in his final collegiate season.
– Derek Brown
Bijan Robinson (RB – ATL): +300
Bijan Robinson will be the focal point of the Falcons offense in 2023. Anything comparable to Saquon Barkley’s rookie season (also on a “bad” team) and this is a lock.
– Joe Pisapia
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