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The Bears have won three of their last four games, but they are still behind the eight-ball for the playoffs with a 6-6 record. They’ll obviously need to win their remaining games and hope for help in the standings. Even if those pieces fall their way, the Bears only have a 3% chance of making the postseason. That doesn’t mean they’ll give up on the season, especially in Thursday’s primetime home date with the Cowboys.
Meanwhile, the Cowboys are in trouble after losing three of their last four games. Despite that, they still have a 73% chance of making the playoffs, due in large part to the underachieving nature of the NFC East. The Cowboys are one game up in the division despite their mediocre 6-6 record, and they’ll look to finish the season strong in order to secure a postseason birth.
- Opening Lines: The spread and total have held steady after opening at Cowboys -3 and 43.
- Current Line: Cowboys -3 at FanDuel Sportsbook
- O/U: 43 at FanDuel Sportsbook
- Location: Soldier Field – Chicago, IL
- Start Time: 8:20pm ET
- Television: FOX/NFL
- Last Meeting: September 25, 2016 – Cowboys defeated Bears 31-17 in Dallas
Both of these teams rank in the top 10 for total defense, so we could see a grind-it-out type of game on Thursday. Even though this is the first game of the week, neither team has the rest advantage, as both teams played on Thanksgiving. There’s no denying that the Cowboys are desperate for a victory, as their head coach has been under plenty of scrutiny in recent weeks. Dallas has more playmakers on the offensive side of the ball, as QB Dak Prescott, RB Ezekiel Elliott, and WR Amari Cooper are Pro Bowl-caliber players. The Bears don’t have any of that star power on offense, and that could be one of the differences in this contest.
- The over is 9-2 in the Cowboys last 11 games vs. the NFC.
- The Cowboys are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 as a road favorite.
- The Bears are 6-1-1 in their last eight as a home underdog.
- The under is 5-0 in the Bears last five as an underdog.
Ezekiel Elliott OVER 89 Rushing Yards
I believe Elliott will be a key factor in this game. Game flow hasn’t been kind to Zeke in recent weeks, but I’m expecting him to see plenty of rushing attempts on Thursday. After all, the Bears are vulnerable on the ground. Almost every legitimate running back they have faced in recent weeks has piled up good numbers. Todd Gurley (25-97-1), Jordan Howard (19-82-1), Latavius Murray (27-119-1), and Josh Jacobs (26-123-2) are prime examples.
I’ve hinted towards this throughout the article, but I believe the Cowboys will be able to run the football and make enough plays to break their recent slump. There’s more motivation on the Dallas sideline right now, and that should push them toward a crucial road victory.
Pick: Cowboys -3 at FanDuel Sportsbook