The Texans host the Browns in the first game of the NFL’s postseason this year. They’re followed by the Dolphins facing the Chiefs in Kansas City in a frigid game. Both playoff games have eye-catching player props for constructing enticing same-game parlays (SGP). Here are our top NFL same game parlay picks for Saturday’s games. Below we dive into Dolphins vs. Chiefs.
Saturday NFL Doubleheader Best Same Game Parlay Bets
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Dolphins vs. Chiefs
- Leg 1: Tua Tagovailoa Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-166)
- Leg 2: Isiah Pacheco 100+ Rushing + Receiving Yards (+130)
- Leg 3: Isiah Pacheco Over 3.5 Receptions (+110)
Tua Tagovailoa is in the middle of a late-season slump. The lefty has completed over one passing touchdown only once in his past five games and three times in his last nine. The frigid weather forecast for Kansas City on Saturday night is bad news for passing.
Additionally, the matchup is challenging for Tagovailoa. The Chiefs held Tua to 193 passing yards and one touchdown in Week 9. Furthermore, Russell Wilson, Jordan Love, Kirk Cousins and Zach Wilson were the only quarterbacks to pass for more than 1.5 touchdowns against the Chiefs.
On the other side of the game, Isiah Pacheco should be a workhorse for the Chiefs. When these teams played earlier this year, the Chiefs had a 46% situation-neutral rush rate, much higher than their 33% situation-neutral rush rate from Week 14 through Week 17. Moreover, Miami’s opponents have had a 44% situation-neutral rush rate since Week 15.
The second-year running back has had at least 20 touches in four of his past five games and bested 100 scrimmage yards in two of his final three games in the regular season. Pacheco has also had a steady role in the passing game lately, reeling in five, three, four and seven receptions in his last four games in the regular season.
The matchup isn’t too shabby for Pacheco, especially since injuries have ravaged Miami’s defense. Since Week 15, they’ve allowed running backs 64 rushing yards per game, 4.0 receptions per game and 32 receiving yards per game. The well-rested, hard-charging running back should pick up where he left off before getting a breather in Week 18.
Parlay Odds: +435
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Josh Shepardson is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @BChad50.