I’m Andrew Erickson, and I’m here to guide you through each game on the NFL slate, offering insights and recommendations on sides, totals, and player props that you can quickly turn into a big single-game parlay. Whether you’re a seasoned bettor or just dipping your toes into the world of NFL wagering - I know that I am for the first time now that my state has legalized wagering - this primer is designed to provide you with valuable perspectives and picks for the upcoming NFL week of action. Here are my top picks for Dolphins vs. Eagles.
NFL Betting Primer: Dolphins vs. Eagles
Philadelphia Eagles (PHI) vs. Miami Dolphins (MIA) – Dolphins (-1.5)
We are entering uncharted territory with yet another game that wants to be an over bet. It's Sunday Night Football at it's finest between two of the top offenses in the league.
Miami is 4-2 toward the over this season. The unders came against the league's worst scoring offenses in the Patriots/Giants. They are both averaging 12 or fewer points per game.
The Eagles rank 5th in points per game overall and 3rd in points per game at home. Both of their home games have resulted in 60-plus points.
Bet the over in what should be a WILD shootout. These teams rank first and second respectively in total yards per game.
Philly struggled last week against the Jets' top-tier red zone defense. Miami ranks 26th in red zone defense. As do the Eagles.
And although the Eagles boast a fierce pass rush, it is beyond useless if Tua Tagovailoa is getting the ball faster than any other quarterback this season.
From a sides perspective, I'd rather just stay away and just enjoy the offensive fireworks show. Probably just take the Dolphins with the +2.5 in a game that I think will easily be decided by a final field goal.
Jaylen Waddle made a significant impact in Week 6, with 7 receptions for 51 yards, and a touchdown reception (9 targets, 30% Target share). Two more red-zone targets as the team is clearly trying to get him usage when they close in on scoring.
Buy low on Waddle. The eruption game is coming. 9-plus targets in back-to-back weeks to go along with an average of 6 receptions. Bet the over on his 4.5 receptions prop. The Eagles rank 5th in catches allowed per game to WRs.
My Picks:
- Over 52 (-110 BetMGM)
- Dolphins +2.5 (-110 BetMGM)
My Props:
- Jaylen Waddle over 4.5 receptions (-130 FanDuel)
What is Betting Against the Spread?
Betting "against the spread" refers to the act of choosing the winning team based on a numeric handicap placed on the team that oddsmakers believe is superior, rather than picking the outright winner. For example, if the Rams face the Bengals, and oddsmakers set the spread at Rams -3.5, you would need Los Angeles to win by 4 or more points in order to cash your Rams bet.
What is an Over/Under Bet?
Over/Under is a wager based on how many points you think will be scored in a specific game. Oddsmakers set the total, and bettors decide whether the final score will be higher or lower than that number. If an Over/Under is set at 44.5 points and you bet Over, you will need the combined score of both teams to be 45 points or higher to win your bet.
What is a Moneyline Bet?
A moneyline bet involves choosing which team you believe will win a specific matchup. The moneyline favorite carries a minus designation, like -130. This means that you need to wager $130 to earn a $100 profit. Conversely, the underdog carries a plus designation, like +110. This means that you win $110 in profit on a $100 bet.
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