Falcons vs. Cardinals: NFL Week 10 Odds, Picks & Player Prop Bets

I’m Andrew Erickson, and I’m here to guide you through each game on the NFL slate, offering insights and recommendations on sides, totals, and player props that you can quickly turn into a big single-game parlay. Whether you’re a seasoned bettor or just dipping your toes into the world of NFL wagering this primer is designed to provide you with valuable perspectives and picks for the upcoming NFL week of action. Here are my top picks for Falcons vs. Cardinals.

NFL Betting Primer: Falcons vs. Cardinals

Arizona Cardinals vs. Atlanta Falcons (-1.5)

Kyler Murray is slated to get the start for the Arizona Cardinals in Week 10. Murray is less than a year removed from a torn ACL injury that forced him to miss the end of the 2022 season and the first half of the 2023 season.

But let's not forget that Murray was 4-8 as a starter last season. 6-6 ATS. And his presence does nothing to elevate the play of his atrocious defense. On the year, Arizona's defense ranks 31^st in total DVOA, 31^st versus the pass and 30th versus the run. Expect the Falcons offense to run WILD over the Cardinals.

At quarterback, Taylor Heinicke will draw his second start of the season. The Falcons couldn't close the door on the Vikings a week ago, despite playing a third-string QB who had spent just days with the offense. It was shocking considering how the Falcons have been more on the positive side of one-score/possession games than Minnesota.

Overall, it's not a great look for their defense which has regressed tremendously in recent weeks. The absence of Grady Jarrett cannot be understated. Last 3 games, Atlanta's defense has been gashed by Tampa Bay, Tennessee and Minnesota. 24 points per game and 355 yards per game.

Since the start of last season, Heinicke is 5-4-1 against the spread, and 5-4-1 straight up. 2 games they didn't win, or cover came against their division rival Giants (aside from last week).

Atlanta has also been trending in the wrong direction as well. The Falcons are on a five-game streak of failing to cover the spread in games they are favored in.

The only reason the Cardinals aren't favorites here is because of the question marks surrounding Murray. How effective can he be after the long layoff? And although I feel there will be some rust to knock off, I am not sure a 75% Murray is 1.5 points worse than Heinicke playing on the road.

Give me the Cardinals at home with the points. The Cardinals are 3-1 ATS at home this season.

As for the total...Atlanta is 6-3 toward the under this season, while Arizona is 5-4 toward the over.

Every game played in Glendale Arizona has gone OVER the total (4-0). Give me the over between two horrible defenses in a sneaky shootout in the desert.

The projection for Kyler Murray rests at 221 passing yards in our database. When the lines come out, jump on the over if the lines are lower. The same for the receiving props on Marquise Brown and Trey McBride. McBride had 1 target and 1 catch for 12 yards in the first half of last week with Clayton Tune at QB. The second-year tight end ended with 3 for 22 on 5 targets (25% Target share). Ran a route on 63% of dropbacks while playing 69% of the snaps. Still showed strong target usage and he has a much better matchup versus the Falcons in Week 10. Falcons are allowing the most catches and second-most targets to TEs this season.

Aside from last week, the Cardinals had allowed a RB to rush for 59-plus yards in every single game. Bet the over on Bijan Robinson.

And bet the over on his No. 1 WR, Drake London. London has gone over 46.5 receiving yards in four straight games. The Cardinals defense has allowed opposing No. 1 WRs to go OVER their requisite receiving yardage props in 9 of 9 games this season. Bet the over on his yardage and receptions totals.

My Picks:

Cardinals +1.5
Over 44

My Props:

What is Betting Against the Spread?

Betting "against the spread" refers to the act of choosing the winning team based on a numeric handicap placed on the team that oddsmakers believe is superior, rather than picking the outright winner. For example, if the Rams face the Bengals, and oddsmakers set the spread at Rams -3.5, you would need Los Angeles to win by 4 or more points in order to cash your Rams bet.

What is an Over/Under Bet?

Over/Under is a wager based on how many points you think will be scored in a specific game. Oddsmakers set the total, and bettors decide whether the final score will be higher or lower than that number. If an Over/Under is set at 44.5 points and you bet Over, you will need the combined score of both teams to be 45 points or higher to win your bet.

What is a Moneyline Bet?

A moneyline bet involves choosing which team you believe will win a specific matchup. The moneyline favorite carries a minus designation, like -130. This means that you need to wager $130 to earn a $100 profit. Conversely, the underdog carries a plus designation, like +110. This means that you win $110 in profit on a $100 bet.