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The Saturday slate is one of my favorites in the KBO as we get some games with the first pitch at a little bit more of a manageable starting time at 12:00 AM EST (midnight). This gives you all day Friday to look over these games and see which ones will be your favorite to pick from. Let’s take a look at some of Saturday’s games with odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook. I have also given my top DraftKings DFS value plays for the KBO over at FantasyPros. The best resource you can find to analyze sports betting for the KBO is by digging through the stats over at MyKBOStats.com and KBOFancyStats.com.
NC Dinos (-345) at Hanwha Eagles (+255)
- 12:00 AM EST
- NC Dinos Run Line: -1.5 (-205)
- Hanwha Run Line: +1.5 (+160)
- Total Runs: Over 9 (-104) / Under 9 (-122)
You get the classic matchup here of the best team in the league (NC Dinos: 21-6) vs. the worst team in the league (Hanwha Eagles: 7-21). The Dinos will be sending out the best pitcher in the league today, Koo Chang-mo who has a WAR of 1.56 — third-best overall in the KBO. The Dinos also lead the KBO with 185 runs this season and a +77 run differential which is more than twice as much as the next-best team.
Hanwha has been a trainwreck as of late. They have lost 12-straight games with their last win ironically coming against this very same Dinos team back on May 22nd where they won by a score of 5-3. They’ll be sending out pitcher Chad Bell to the mound who has two no-decisions so far this season. He allowed four earned runs in just 3 2/3 innings his last time out and hasn’t made it to the fourth inning in either of his last two games.
The Dinos are the obvious favorite here and they destroyed the Eagles 13-2 on Friday. There is no value in the Dinos’ moneyline but if you look at the alternate runs option on DK you can start getting plus-money on the Dinos at -3 runs (+102). The over is also attractive here as the Dinos are more than capable of clearing nine runs on their own. They’ve scored at least eight runs in four of their last five games and more than nine in three of their last five as well.
LG Twins (-129) at Kiwoom Heroes (+104)
- 3:00 AM EST
- LG Run Line: -1.5 (+112)
- Kiwoom Run Line: +1.5 (-143)
- Total Runs: Over 11 (-106) / Under 11 (-121)
The LG Twins (17-10) and Kiwoom Heroes (16-12) are neck and neck this season with the Twins tied for second place and the Heroes right under them. These teams are tied for the second-best run differential in the league this season with both sitting at +35. Where we will find the slight edge in this matchup is in the pitching. Kiwoom will be sending out Seung-ho Lee who has been knocked around pretty good this season and especially lately. He allowed three home runs and eight earned over just 2.1 innings in his last start against a KT Wiz team that has been far from dominant this season.
The LG Twins are going to be sending out pitcher Tyler Wilson who has allowed just three home runs all season. He has been serviceable sporting a 4.60 ERA this season and has picked up a win in each of his last two outings. The Twins have also traveled well this season as their 8-4 record on the road ranks third-best in the league. They took the first series against Kiwoom earlier this season 2-1. While they lost the first game of this series on Friday 6-3, I expect them to have a much better chance against Lee on Saturday. The Twins have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games while Kiwoom has allowed 17 HRs over that same span. That alone could spell trouble for Lee after getting lit up so bad in his last outing. It’s hard to find a ton of value in lines for the KBO, but if you tease the run line here for LG to -2 you can get better odds. I probably won’t touch the total here as it’s already set fairly high at 11 and you don’t really get a great return there. If anything, you could hedge your bet a little by teasing the total down to under 10.5 to move into plus-money territory at +102 odds. A final of 6-4 sounds about right for this one.
KT Wiz (+112) at Lotte Giants (-143)
- 3:00 AM EST
- KT Run Line: +1.5 (-190)
- Lotte Run Line: -1.5 (+145)
- Total Runs: Over 9.5 (-106) / Under 9.5 (-120)
As a diehard Oakland A’s fan, I can’t help but pull for Dan Straily every time he toes the rubber. He’ll be taking the mound for the Giants tonight as they take on a KT Wiz team that has lost three of their last four games. Straily had a decent outing against them in his season opener allowing just three hits and two earned runs but was unfortunately saddled with a no-decision. He has the unfortunate luck of being on a Lotte Giants team that has scored the second-fewest runs in the KBO this season but has performed much better than his 1-2 record reads. He ranks top-10 this season in both WAR and FIP while his 9.99 K/9 is third-best in the league.
KT is just 4-6 over their last 10 games and has been outscored by their opponents by 14 total runs during that span. They have also been the worst road team in the league with just three wins in 12 games as a visitor this season. Lotte dropped the first game of this series by a score of 4-6, but I expect a better performance in this one. I would also expect a potentially lower score. Lotte has scored just 30 runs over their last 10 games which is only three more than the tremendously struggling Hanwha Eagles. I actually like the Giants at -1.5 at +145 odds and I might even tease the total here as well. Given the better pitching we could see from Straily and how these teams have struggled to score this season, I would feel comfortable moving their total to under 9 to get +106 odds.