Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts Odds & Game Pick
Whether you’re new to sports betting or a betting pro, our Sports Betting Strategy and Advice page is for you. You can get started with our 101 section — including How to Choose a Sportsbook — or head to more advanced strategy — like Which Sports Are Most Profitable to Bet? — to learn more.
The Indianapolis Colts can’t seem to catch a break when it comes to their quarterback. After overcoming the loss of Andrew Luck to open the season with a 5-2 record, the Colts lost their new starter, Jacoby Brissett, to injury in a 26-24 loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers on Sunday. With Brissett’s status still up in the air (he practiced on a limited basis this week), Indianapolis will prepare to host the Miami Dolphins in Week 10. The Dolphins are coming off a win and have been competitive in recent weeks. Can they cover a big number here?
Special Offer: Bet $1 and win $100 if the Jets or Giants win this week >>
Details
- Opening Line: Indianapolis -15.5
- Current Line: Indianapolis -10.5
- Over/Under: 44
- Location: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, Indiana
- Start Time: 4:05 PM ET
- Last Meeting: Colts 27 vs. Dolphins 24 (11/25/18)
View consensus picks from 100+ experts for the Dolphins at Colts >>
Overview
Don’t look now but Miami has suddenly turned into a very reliable pick when it comes to betting the point spread this season. The Dolphins have covered the point spread in four straight games, including last week’s win over the Jets. Ryan Fitzpatrick and company will now head to Indianapolis hoping to build on that performance. For his part, Fitzpatrick threw for a season-high 288 yards and three touchdowns with a 118.8 passer rating last week. Wide receiver DeVante Parker had four catches for 57 yards and a touchdown. Meanwhile, the defense delivered its best performance of the year in holding New York to just 18 points.
The Dolphins have been competitive four straight weeks now as they could have beaten the Washington Redskins, failing on a game-winning two-point conversion. Then they had a big third-quarter lead in Buffalo and led Pittsburgh 14-0 before melting down. Now they’ll have another shot to cover if they’re going up against the Colts, who will definitely be short T.Y. Hilton and possibly Brissett, too.
With Hoyer under center, the Colts would be far from invincible heading into this matchup. Hoyer completed 17-of-26 pass attempts for 168 yards with three touchdowns and an interception in his debut against the Steelers last week. The Colts could have won had Adam Vinatieri’s game-winning kick not gone awry.
For the Colts, the formula should be pretty simple here, use the big, road-grading offensive line to flatten the Dolphins and clear lanes for Marlon Mack. The Dolphins have the league’s second-worst run defense, allowing just over 150 rushing yards per game. If the Colts can run the ball well, they’ll be in great shape.
Trends
- Miami is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games at Indianapolis
- Dolphins are 4-0 ATS in last 4 games overall
- Colts are 9-1 SU in last 10 home games
- Indianapolis has won last 2 vs. Miami
Bottom Line
The fact that the line is up with a possible quarterback injury shows that the oddsmakers don’t have much respect for the Dolphins. However, it makes sense to take the Dolphins to cover. Miami has been one of the most reliable teams to bet against the spread of late with four straight covers. The Dolphins are also 8-1 ATS in their last nine road games against the Colts. On top of that, the Colts are not known as a team that blows opponents out. The wild card, per usual, is how much Miami will turn it over. If they take care of the football, they’ll cover.
Prediction: Indianapolis 24, Miami 21
Deposit $50 at PointsBet and get a free $100 bonus! >>
Check out our other NFL Sports Betting Guides for Week 10
Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints (-14)
Buffalo Bills at Cleveland Browns (-3)
New York Giants at New York Jets (+2.5)
Kansas City Chiefs at Tennessee Titans (+5.5)
Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals (+10.5)
Los Angeles Rams at Pittsburgh Steelers (+4.5)
Arizona Cardinals at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-4.5)
Carolina Panthers at Green Bay Packers (-5)
Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears (-2.5)
Minnesota Vikings at Dallas Cowboys (-3.5)
Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers (-6.5)
Dave Golokhov is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Dave, check out his archive and follow him @davegolokhov.