MLB Best Bets, Odds, Picks & Predictions: Thursday (8/10)

The trade deadline is over, and some big names were moved. We feature one of them tonight. Each game features a team that bought in on the season, so we'll see if it pays off.

Thursday's Best MLB Bets

(Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook)

Kansas City Royals (+200) at Boston Red Sox (-245) | O/U 10.5 (-110/-110)

After a solid start to the season, James Paxton is having a bit of a rough stretch with a 5.40 ERA, 5.75 FIP, and opposing batters are hitting .287 in his last six starts. The long ball and walks were the problems in the two worst starts of this stretch, and he'll benefit from facing the Royals, who are 26th in home run rate and 29th in walk rate.

Alec Marsh is a power pitcher that can reach his fastball into the upper 90s, the problem for the rookie is his control. His walk rate is 5.5 per nine, and he overcompensates by leaving pitches in the zone, allowing 3.2 home runs per nine.

Paxton can rebound against a struggling offense and the Red Sox should easily get the win.

Pick: Red Sox -1.5 (-125)

Washington Nationals (+210) at Philadelphia Phillies (-258) | O/U 9 (-120/+100)

The track record of Patrick Corbin is evident, and he's been one of the least efficient pitchers over the last few years. He has the most losses and earned runs allowed over the previous two seasons, and his current 74 earned is the most in the National League.

Aaron Nola has been highly disappointing after putting up his career numbers last season. His ERA has yet to be below 4.00, and his expected slugging and barrel percentage are both below the league average. What could be a big benefit for him tonight is his chase rate in the 92nd percentile going against the Nats, who are 25th in that category.

The Phillies roster has great numbers against Corbin hitting .344, so Nola may not have to be perfect for Philadelphia to win.

Pick: Phillies -1.5 (-120)

Toronto Blue Jays (-135) at Cleveland Guardians (+114) | O/U 9.5 (-105/-115)

It's been an interesting season for Alek Manoah. He was so bad early in the season that at one point he was sent back to the Blue Jays’ developmental level to try and fix his problems. His first start back was abysmal, but he's settled in carrying s 3.86 ERA and Toronto has won his last three starts.

Noah Syndergaard has had that same problem, but there is no happy ending here. After going 1-5 with a 7.16 ERA with the Dodgers, he was DFA'd and found his way to the Guardians. A great first start from him against Houston, but he was shelled by the White Sox, allowing five earned in the loss.

This isn’t a great pitching matchup, but when comparing these two lineups, Toronto has given a lot of run support to Manoah recently.

Pick: Blue Jays -1.5 (+120)