In my last article, we hit on Ben Rice (+300) to homer. Check out my top three MLB home run props for tonight’s limited slate.
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Friday’s Best MLB Home Run Props & Picks
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Daylen Lile (+630)
Daylen Lile has gone under the radar recently. The left-handed outfielder has hit a .343 ISO and a wOBA of .402 against his last 77 righties.
Lile will battle Shane Baz of the Baltimore Orioles, who has allowed a .188 ISO and a wOBA of .350 to his last 76 lefties. Those lefties have hit a 9.4% barrel rate and almost 36% of line drives over the last 30 days. Baz has also struck lefties out only 18.4% of the time over the last month.
Lile has the highest ISO against lefties during this time period in the Nationals’ lineup. Let’s see if he can add another bomb tonight.
Samuel Basallo (+440)
The Washington Nationals are set to pitch Zack Littell. The righty has allowed a .460 ISO and a wOBA of .470 to his last 57 lefties. Those lefties have hit more fly balls than ground balls, along with 50% hard contact and a 14% barrel percentage.
Littell will face Samuel Basallo, who has smashed a .207 ISO and a wOBA of .401 against his last 62 righties. Basallo has slugged 51.2% of hard contact and a 9.3% barrel rate against righties over the last month.
Let’s give Basallo a try at +440 odds.
TJ Rumfield (+490)
TJ Rumfield has added a .250 ISO and a wOBA of 401 against righties over the last month. He’s only struck out 13.6% of the time against righties during that stretch.
Tonight, Rumfield will battle Merrill Kelly of the Arizona Diamondbacks, who has allowed a .447 ISO and a wOBA of .550 to his last 57 lefties. Those lefties have hit a 26.8% barrel rate with 73.2% of hard contact.
In Colorado, the ball can absolutely fly. Rumfield has the power to take advantage of Kelly. After all, Kelly has walked lefties more than he’s struck them out this season. Rumfield should be in hitter-counts multiple times in this game.
