I have been going back and forth between 2-1 and 1-2 weeks for seemingly all of the season. I suppose things could be worse, but they can also definitely be better. Let's finish the month strong with a clean sweep on Wednesday. Here are three of my favorite MLB player props for Wednesday's MLB slate.
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Wednesday’s Best MLB Player Props & Bets
Dustin May Under 17.5 Pitching Outs Recorded (-127 at Caesars Sportsbook)
My first MLB player prop bet for Wednesday is against St. Louis Cardinals pitcher Dustin May to make it through six innings. He has managed this in six out of 10 starts this season, but considering this particular matchup, I am comfortable fading him.
May will oppose the Milwaukee Brewers in Wednesday's matinee matchup. The Brewers have been excellent at making things tough on opposing starting pitchers. Only one of the last nine starters to face Milwaukee has made it through six innings.
Milwaukee has also been especially tough on right-handed pitching this year. The Brewers are second in the Majors in on-base percentage (OBP) and seventh in wRC+ against right-handed pitchers.
Additionally, the Milwaukee Brewers platoon often and are expected to have seven left-handed hitters in Wednesday’s lineup. Left-handed bats have given him trouble thus far in 2026.
Among 47 Major League pitchers who have thrown at least 30 innings versus left-handed hitters this year, May's .403 OBP allowed is the highest. This traffic on the basepaths will make recording 18 outs difficult for May in this matchup.
The St. Louis Cardinals have lost three straight games, including the first two games of this series. They may be a bit more desperate to secure a win on Wednesday. With Thursday off and no high-leverage bullpen arms used since Saturday, St. Louis may turn to its bullpen earlier than usual, depending on the game situation.
Taken together, these elements suggest several paths that lead to May struggling to finish six innings in this game. Therefore, I am betting the under on his pitching outs number.
Paul Goldschmidt Over 1.5 Total Bases (+110 at theScore Bet)
Turning to my next prop bet, I like Paul Goldschmidt in his matchup against Noah Cameron and the Kansas City Royals on Wednesday. Goldschmidt has been outstanding against left-handed pitching this season, and I expect that to continue.
Goldschmidt holds a .732 slugging rate and .415 ISO versus southpaws so far in 2026. He ranks third in slugging rate and second in ISO among 147 players with at least 50 plate appearances against left-handed pitchers.
The Yankees slugger has recorded at least one extra-base hit in each of his last five games when the Yankees were opposed by a lefty starting pitcher. Interestingly, all five extra-base hits occurred in the first inning, including three on the first pitch.
The 38-year-old has exhibited veteran savvy in these scenarios, effectively cheating against fastballs early in the count. Against left-handed four-seam fastballs this season, Goldschmidt is 7-for-16 with six extra-base hits.
Cameron's four-seam fastball is nothing special. Cameron has allowed a .550 and .562 expected slugging percentage on that pitch in his two Major League seasons.
Cameron’s fastball averages about 92 miles per hour (MPH), a velocity that Goldschmidt should handle well, even at this stage of his career. Cameron's other pitches have also shown neutral or negative run value this year, per Baseball Savant.
Goldschmidt should lead off and get three chances against Cameron. Kansas City's bullpen ranks fifth-worst in the Majors in both barrel rate and hard-hit rate allowed. Even if Cameron limits the damage, Goldschmidt still has favorable matchups he can exploit. I believe he will register at least two total bases in this game.
Shohei Ohtani Over 1.5 Total Bases (-110 at Fanatics Sportsbook)
For my final MLB player prop for Wednesday, I am shifting to Los Angeles Dodgers star Shohei Ohtani. I am taking him to record at least two total bases.
One factor to be aware of: Ohtani may not hit, as he is scheduled to start on the mound for the Dodgers. In that case, this bet will be void, removing some of the risk involved.
Ohtani has been somewhat underwhelming at the plate this season, at least in comparison to the lofty expectations we have for him. However, it is not as if he has completely fallen off a cliff.
Ohtani still has an expected slugging rate in the 91st percentile and a 93rd-percentile barrel rate. I expect Ohtani to do damage in a favorable matchup against countryman Tomoyuki Sugano.
Ohtani has dominated Sugano in their Major League matchups. The Dodgers' two-way star has 11 total bases in just five plate appearances versus Sugano. Sugano has decent surface stats, but his underlying metrics are poor.
Among 140 pitchers with at least 100 batted ball events against them this season, Sugano has the highest expected slugging rate allowed. He does limit walks, but that usually means more balls in play, which could lead to more total bases.
If Sugano somehow limits Ohtani, Colorado's bullpen still presents an opportunity. Ohtani is 10-for-19 with two home runs and a double against the available Rockies relievers for Wednesday's game. No matter how you slice it, this is an elite matchup for Ohtani in all phases.
