This isn’t the most exciting slate of games but at least we have baseball back. The PrizePicks article has not gotten off to the best start, so tread carefully on my picks until further notice. Here are three of my favorite player prop predictions for Thursday, April 4th.
Thursday’s Best MLB PrizePicks Player Predictions
PrizePicks Record This Season: 4-8
This is a pretty big line for Tanner Bibee. He has stayed under this mark in 18-of-26 (69%) starts to begin his career. That includes his first start of the season against Oakland where he had some rust. He went four innings (88 pitches), where he allowed 11 batters to reach base, gave up three earned runs and struck out just four. The A’s aren’t one to normally do that to a starter but Minnesota has the bats to do some damage. Early on, that has admittedly not been the case and they do tend to strike out at a sizable clip. However, Bibee has shown more often than not that he is not the guy to exceed this line, so let’s take the under here.
This isn’t the most exciting slate of games but at least we have baseball back. The PrizePicks article has not gotten off to the best start, so tread carefully on my picks until further notice. Here are three of my favorite player prop predictions for Thursday, April 4th.
Thursday’s Best MLB PrizePicks Player Predictions
PrizePicks Record This Season: 4-8
This is a pretty big line for Tanner Bibee. He has stayed under this mark in 18-of-26 (69%) starts to begin his career. That includes his first start of the season against Oakland where he had some rust. He went four innings (88 pitches), where he allowed 11 batters to reach base, gave up three earned runs and struck out just four. The A’s aren’t one to normally do that to a starter but Minnesota has the bats to do some damage. Early on, that has admittedly not been the case and they do tend to strike out at a sizable clip. However, Bibee has shown more often than not that he is not the guy to exceed this line, so let’s take the under here.
It’s hard to want to take the under on a guy with a strikeout prop this low but Michael Soroka has forced us into this position. In his first start of the season against the Detroit Tigers, who are known to have a pretty strikeout-heavy lineup, he generated a total of three whiffs. That’s bafflingly low and it resulted in exactly zero punchouts for the guy across five frames. Now he takes on the Kansas City Royals, who have been seeing the ball pretty well to start the year with a 107 wRC+. If they can hold Corbin Burnes (three strikeouts) under this mark, they should be able to against Michael Soroka.
On the flip side in that Royals game, Seth Lugo should be able to find some punchouts against this porous White Sox lineup. We’re working with a tiny sample size here but they have the third-highest K% (28%) and fifth-worst wRC+ (66) in their first five contests. Four of the five starters they have faced have found at least five punchouts against them. Seth Lugo looked pretty sharp in his first outing of the season, firing six scoreless innings with four strikeouts, while allowing just three baserunners against the Twins. Lugo found at least five strikeouts in 18/26 starts last season.
Make sure to check out our other best bets for Thursday:
Tyler Gentile is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Tyler, follow him @808Paperboi
