The Dodgers took game one of the Seoul Series yesterday. It took a four-run eighth inning, but they found the dub, winning 5-2 over San Diego. The two-game set takes place at the Gocheok Sky Dome, which should be a slight edge to the pitchers, unlike other international series in the past.
The picks didn’t go as planned in game one with a 1-2 result yesterday. Let’s find a bounceback in the final game of the series. Here are three of the best PrizePicks plays worth considering for Thursday, March. 21.
Thursday’s Best MLB PrizePicks Player Predictions
PrizePicks Record: 1-2
The Dodgers took game one of the Seoul Series yesterday. It took a four-run eighth inning, but they found the dub, winning 5-2 over San Diego. The two-game set takes place at the Gocheok Sky Dome, which should be a slight edge to the pitchers, unlike other international series in the past.
The picks didn’t go as planned in game one with a 1-2 result yesterday. Let’s find a bounceback in the final game of the series. Here are three of the best PrizePicks plays worth considering for Thursday, March. 21.
Thursday’s Best MLB PrizePicks Player Predictions
PrizePicks Record: 1-2
After seeing the usage of the starters yesterday, we’re probably all better off to avoid overs on pitcher props for the time being. Yu Darvish (72 pitches) and Tyler Glasnow (77 pitches) struggled to find the zone and we’re yanked with pitch counts in the 70s. Even if Joe Musgrove were to throw 80-90 pitches, I still don’t foresee him going over this strikeout prop. The Dodgers have had their way with him in the past and own a .334 xwOBA and a paltry 20.6% K% against him across 218 plate appearances. The additions of Shohei Ohtani and Teoscar Hernandez to the lineup will add some strikeouts to this lineup, but generally, L.A. doesn’t project to be very strikeout-prone. Musgrove threw just six innings in three appearances this spring, racking up just five punchouts.
If Glasnow threw 77 pitches, it’s highly unlikely Yoshinobu Yamamoto will be pushed past that point either. Even if that is the case, Yamamoto possesses a filthy pitch mix that should stifle this Padres lineup. He is more than capable of finding five strikeouts in four innings. He had 14 punchouts across 9.2 innings pitched this spring. Given the Padres’ unfamiliarity with him, he should be able to eclipse this number.
A fantastic way of measuring the value of PrizePicks props comes by looking at their price on sportsbooks. In this case, DraftKings has this listed at -135, a clear value and one worth exploiting here. Pretty much all of the advanced metrics via Baseball Savant and FanGraphs showcase that Jurickson Profar is not a very good player. He posted a -2.0 WAR last year and ranked in the bottom nine percentile in average exit velocity, 12% in hard-hit% and 12% in sprint speed. He’s also a liability in the field and was replaced in the outfield yesterday, resulting in just three plate appearances for the guy. He stayed under this mark in 68/115 (58.2%) of the games he started last season.
Tyler Gentile is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Tyler, follow him @808Paperboi
