Happy Wednesday all! Let’s kick it off with a few winners over at PrizePicks. As always, the focus will be on pitcher props, and below are three that stood out to me the most.
Wednesday's Best MLB PrizePicks Player Predictions
This season: 58-33-4
After leaving last start due to cramping, I’m certain Shohei will have eaten a banana today and is well-hydrated for his outing against the Giants. He has been dealing with a couple of strange injuries lately, with a split nail giving him issues prior to the cramping ordeal. It’s all white noise, though, and he should dominate the Giants tonight.
Happy Wednesday all! Let’s kick it off with a few winners over at PrizePicks. As always, the focus will be on pitcher props, and below are three that stood out to me the most.
Wednesday's Best MLB PrizePicks Player Predictions
This season: 58-33-4
After leaving last start due to cramping, I’m certain Shohei will have eaten a banana today and is well-hydrated for his outing against the Giants. He has been dealing with a couple of strange injuries lately, with a split nail giving him issues prior to the cramping ordeal. It’s all white noise, though, and he should dominate the Giants tonight.
Their roster has never really faced him, and they have the 7th highest K% (25.7%) and t-3rd worst wRC+ (80) against righties over the last month. Ohtani should be able to throw a gem against them and find plenty of K's on the way. He doesn't rank in the 94th percentile in K% for nothing and has 7+ strikeouts in five of his last six uninterrupted starts.
Jordan Montgomery Over 32.5 Fantasy Score
The man who goes by the nickname “Gumby” makes his second start in a Rangers uniform and draws one of the better possible matchups out there. Since the start of June, Oakland has a 75 wRC+ (3rd worst) and 25.8% K% (5th worst) against Southpaws, and Gumby should be able to take full advantage of that.
Ignoring a start, he left early due to injury, and he has pitched at least six innings in nine consecutive outings. Montgomery has gone over this fantasy score in seven of those nine starts averaging over 36 points per game. He is very efficient with his pitch count and averages the t-22nd fewest pitches per plate appearance and should make quick work of Oakland’s lineup, considering they see the 8th fewest Pit/PA. Most of their roster has never faced him either, and that Texas lineup will likely put up enough runs to qualify him for a win. Take the over here.
Max Fried didn't miss a beat in his return to the mound in over 3 months. He fired six scoreless innings (72 pitches) while allowing just three baserunners and struck out eight against the red-hot Cubs. Now, he gets one of the better matchups possible, facing the Pirates, who have the t-4th worst wRC+ (77) and K% (25.5%) against lefties since the start of June.
Fried has had no trouble with this roster in the past either, and they have a combined .209 xwOBA and 26% K% in 50 plate appearances against him. Even with a limited pitch count, I suspect it will increase to 80-85 pitches. I really think Fried will be able to surpass this number. He has shown over the last two seasons he’s one of the premier lefties in the game, after all.
Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Google Podcasts | Stitcher | RadioPublic | Breaker | Castbox | Pocket Casts
Tyler Gentile is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Tyler, follow him @808Paperboi.
