MLB Same Game Parlay Odds, Picks & Predictions: Wednesday (8/9)

One thing that frequently happens this time of year is teams begin making changes to their lineup depending on their position in the playoff race. Teams out of it will keep bringing up their prospects to see what they have, and other teams may begin pushing their known veterans and overworking their best bullpen arms as they try to make the playoffs. This sometimes makes it tougher to chase down the underdogs we typically look for in this article. With that in mind let’s take a look at our favorite SGP bets of the day.

Wednesday’s Best MLB Same Game Parlays

Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies

Nationals ML (+145) and Nationals o4.5 Runs (+125)

The Nationals have definitely not been an elite offense or team by any means, but what they have been is pesky. They are 7-3 in their last ten games and are sending Mackenzie Gore to the mound, one of their best pitchers this season. The Phillies have been a league-average offense versus lefties this season. Gore has shown great swing-and-miss potential, but the walks are a bit too high, and there are a few too many homers allowed, but the foundation for an ace is there. Michael Lorenzen has had a quietly solid season and was the Phillies’ biggest add as they chase down a playoff spot. The Nationals’ offense is not elite, but their top-of-the-order has been fantastic lately, and Lorenzen being an average to low strikeout arm, makes him prone to possible blowups in parks like Citizen’s Bank. The 4.5-run total is not a high bar to cross for the Nationals’ offense.

Blake Rutherford 2+ TBs (+170)

Rutherford was once a first-round pick and highly ranked prospect for the Yankees before being traded to the White Sox. His career never really got off the ground, and he finally debuted with the Nationals. In three games, Rutherford has yet to get a hit and has a high K%, but his 2023 minor league numbers do not paint a picture of a high K hitter. He carries K% totals in the teens and, in both double-A and triple-A, had ISOs around 0.200. This is the game he gets off the snide and gets his first hits as a big leaguer.

Combined Odds: +500

Minnesota Twins at Detroit Tigers

Tigers ML (+125) and o4.5 Runs (+150)

After some major struggles in the middle of the season, the Twins’ offense has broken out and is top five in the last thirty days. Alex Faedo is tasked with tackling this offense today, and his surface numbers are hiding what appears to be a decent pitcher. He has a hilariously low LOB% at 47%, which is partially driven by a low GB% and high HR rate. However, he limits walks, and while his K numbers are not elite, they are certainly not the bottom of the barrel. He has had several fantastic games this season when he manages to keep the ball in the yard and should be able to do so today. After limiting homers well, Bailey Ober has allowed six in his last four games. The Tigers’ offense is not full of power hitters, but there are enough decent bats in this lineup that could take advantage of Ober’s recent homer issues.

Kerry Carpenter 2+ TBs (+125)

Carpenter is arguably the best hitter in this Tigers’ lineup, and he is fantastic against right-handers. His power is real, and he mashes fastballs. Ober throws about 50% fastballs making this a nice matchup for Carpenter.

Combined Odds: +400

Houston Astros at Baltimore Orioles

Astros ML (+100) and Astros 5.5 ML (+145)

I have frequently found myself betting on Cristian Javier on the sole idea that he can’t keep being as bad as he is. However, while I’m taking the Astros here, this is not a bet in favor of Javier. We are actually betting heavily against Jack Flaherty. Overall, Flaherty has been solid, but he has been insanely inconsistent. Among his 21 starts, he has had six games with four or more runs allowed, These blow-up games are tied to walks and homers allowed, and that is two things that the Astros do extremely well. In the last thirty days, the Astros are top five in BB% and HRs. They seem to be a difficult matchup for Flaherty, and I believe he will add a seventh blow-up start to his ledger.

Chas McCormick 2+ TBs (+160)

McCormick sometimes does not start at random times, but he has a 146 wRC+ this season. It is extremely rare to find hitters with those numbers with a total bases prop as high as this one is. Take the great odds and run with it.

Combined Odds: +425

Make sure to check out our other best bets for Wednesday: