It’s 7/11, so be sure to go get your free Slurpee at your local 7/11. After finding a reverse sweep on Tuesday, the brooms stayed out on Wednesday for a positive 3-0 sweep. Let’s find a few more MLB Sleeper picks winners for Thursday, July 11.
It’s 7/11, so be sure to go get your free Slurpee at your local 7/11. After finding a reverse sweep on Tuesday, the brooms stayed out on Wednesday for a positive 3-0 sweep. Let’s find a few more MLB Sleeper picks winners for Thursday, July 11.
This will be Bloss’ second career start, and it’s not like he profiles as a strikeout-heavy starter. Projection systems have him pegged for around a 7.0 K/9 for the rest of the season. He didn’t find many punchouts in the minors either, posting an 8.6 K/9 across 66 innings. Although this is an easy matchup taking on the Marlins, I like him to stay under this line. He finished with only two strikeouts across 3.2 innings (79 pitches) in his first career start against Baltimore five days back.
For whatever reason, Nestor Cortes Jr. is significantly worse on the road this year. He owns a 5.63 ERA pitching away from Yankee Stadium and is over this line in seven of those nine outings. Cortes faces Tampa Bay, who has been mashing against lefties. They have a 137 wRC+ over the past 30 days against southpaws, the third-best mark in MLB. The Rays have also done well against Cortes in the past, and the roster has a .346 xwOBA across 126 plate appearances against him. They tagged him for four earned runs when they faced him at home back on May 11.
Greene has always struggled with his control, and this year is no different. He ranks in the bottom 17th percentile in BB% amongst starters this year and has gone over this mark in 12-of-18 starts. Last season Greene exceeded this number in 13-of-21 starts, and in 2022 went over in 15-of-24. Add that all up and we’re looking at a 64% hit rate across his career.
Tyler is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from him, follow @808Paperboi