For whatever reason, this Tuesday has an insane amount of morning games. Additionally, we have a plethora of aces on the mound throughout the 14-game slate today. Let’s dive into three of my favorite pitcher props for Wednesday, July 31.
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For whatever reason, this Tuesday has an insane amount of morning games. Additionally, we have a plethora of aces on the mound throughout the 14-game slate today. Let’s dive into three of my favorite pitcher props for Wednesday, July 31.
Get instant alerts when a line reaches your target via the BettingPros App >>
MLB Sleeper Picks Player Predictions
Sleeper Record: 151-89 (62.9%)
He has been shaky throughout the season, but still rates as one of the elite strikeout artists in the game. Peralta has recorded at least six strikeouts in 16 of his 21 starts, ranking in the top 93rd percentile in K% and 94th in swinging strike rate among starters. Taking on the Braves offense is a far easier task compared to last season, and over the past 30 days, they have the second-highest K% (26.3%) and fourth-worst wRC+ (87) against right-handed pitching. Atlanta’s roster owns a combined 29.6% K% and .327 xwOBA across 71 plate appearances against Freddy.
Sticking in the same game, let’s back the current NL Cy Young favorite. Chris Sale has been downright dominant this season, ranking in the top 99th percentile in CSW% and 98th in K% among starters. He has gone over this mark in 11 of his last 14 outings.
Milwaukee doesn’t profile as a very strikeout-prone team against lefties this season, but it’s not like they are routinely going against the caliber of lefty that Sale is. The few times they have, they have struck out plenty. Some of the hard-throwing southpaws to face them include Carlos Rodon (eight strikeouts), Cole Ragans (eight), Garrett Crochet (eight), and Tarik Skubal (10). Gary Sanchez (4-for-25 with 10 strikeouts vs. Sale) and Willy Adams (1-for-8 with three strikeouts) are the only starters in the Brewers lineup to have faced Sale before, too.
The Bay Bridge series continues in San Francisco on Wednesday night, with the Giants’ ace on the bump. Logan Webb is notoriously known for pitching better at home, sporting a career 2.79 ERA (2.99 xFIP) at Oracle Park compared to a 4.11 ERA (3.46 xFIP) on the road. Facing the A’s is a bit more of a test than we are used to seeing, but they still strike out at an insane clip. More recently, that hasn’t been the case, but that’s more of a result of who they have faced in my eyes. On the season as a whole, they are second in K% (25.8%) against right-handed pitching. Webb has gone over this in nine of his last 15 starts.
Tyler is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from him, follow @808Paperboi
