We began tracking who has made the most accurate NFL sports betting picks this season, similar to our efforts to measure the most accurate fantasy football experts at FantasyPros. This group includes analysts, journalists, touts and media personalities that we’ve deemed to provide advice that sports bettors actively seek out. In total, we’ve kept tabs on 139 advice-givers using an objective methodology that analyzes their Against the Spread and Over/Under predictions.
The last time we checked in on the leaderboard was after Week 14 and since then, we’ve seen 59 NFL games played. Today, we’ll show you the top 10 from the final standings of the 2018 NFL sports betting contest. You can check out the entire standings and other useful accuracy information via the links below.
Year-to-Date Accuracy (ATS and O/U Picks)
|1.||Kevin English – Draft Sharks||63.0%||80-47|
|2.||Zach Brunner – FlurrySports||59.6%||102-69-1|
|3.||Davis Mattek – Fantasy Insiders||58.9%||63-44-3|
|4.||Jamey Eisenberg – CBS Sports||56.6%||146-112-7|
|5.||Ben Volin – Boston Globe||56.5%||109-84-10|
|6.||Staff Rankings – Daily Roto||56.0%||75-59|
|7.||Anthony Amico – RotoViz||55.9%||100-79-3|
|8.||Kevin Hanson – EDSFootball||55.8%||96-76-10|
|9.||Des Bieler – The Washington Post||55.6%||109-87-4|
|10||Al Iannazzone – Newsday||55.5%||136-109-6|
Despite 22% of the betting opportunities taking place since we last broke down the leaderboard, there hasn’t been much in the way of change. There was slight movement within the top five, as both Jamey Eisenberg (CBS Sports) and (Ben Volin Boston Globe) moved up a spot, but the top three didn’t budge. Part of the reason, of course, was that the top guys were nearly a full standard deviation above the rest of the top 10. In the case of Kevin English ( Draft Sharks), he had more separation over the those on the majority of the leaderboard than the leaderboard had over the average expert. In fact, it would have taken 5 wins being flipped to losses in order to get Kevin to second place. That is the same difference as 11th place plummeting to 70th place.
As we highlighted two months ago, Kevin’s remarkable accuracy was consistent all season. Reaching a winning percentage of 55% is an impressive feat, but 63% is absolutely incredible. Not only did Kevin finish #1 against the spread (43-26, 62.3%), but among those in the competition with 20 picks, he also finished #1 on over/unders (37-21, 63.8%). Congratulations to Kevin on a truly spectacular season!
Props are due to everyone else in the top ten who managed to beat out a competitive field. Special recognition is due to Greg Cote (Miami Herald) and Elisha Twerski (Cheesehead TV) for finishing with the most games above .500 in the two primary categories. Greg went a ridiculous 135-94-8, 59.0% versus the spread and Elisha was a whopping 35 games above .500 at picking the over/under (137-102-7, 57.3%). Likewise, Colin Cowherd (Fox Sports) also had an impressive season, going 52-34-2, 60.5%. Had his 88 picks qualified for the leaderboard, he would have finished #2.
We’ll be back next year to measure the 2019 NFL sports betting accuracy. Until then, be sure to check out our splits accuracy page and be on the lookout for plenty of future tools to help you succeed in sports betting. Congratulations again to Kevin English and have a great off-season.