It's another day of NBA play as the first couple weeks of the season are in the books and we have a good first handful of data under our belts. Last year was another success and I plan on running it back again. As always, monitor any potential news and lineup announcements. The best way to stay informed about NBA player props is to stay up-to-date with the latest news. The second best way is to shop around at different books. Player props rarely have identical odds across platforms, so ensure you get the best value. We only have one game on today's slate so nothing to write home about but it's still good enough for me. Let's get to it.
Go premium to view top prop bets based on Cover Probability, Expected Value & Star Rating >>
Thursday's Best NBA Player Prop Bets
Last Season: 174-125 | This Season: 13-6 | Last Time: 5-0 | Unless specified otherwise, each bet will be a single unit.
Mark Williams Under 22.5 Points + Assists (-117 at FanDuel)
It's a bit of slim pickings with only one game but for the options available I think this line is way too inflated. When you look at Williams' averages on the season, he's at 12 points and 10 rebounds a game. Last time out he had 16 points with 16 boards. He's had other games going 20 and 12 and 25 and 11. He's capable of blowing up for sure. However, he's also had starts going for just 14 combined points and assists or 16. If you are going to bet this one I'd bet alts. It will be a slow paced game with Los Angeles ranking second to last in pace of play and the total is only at 223. So I'm leaning towards the under here and wouldn't mind some under 20 or below bets on this combo prop.
Ivica Zubac Under 31.5 Points + Assists + Rebounds (-106 at DraftKings)
Guess we're just fading centers tonight folks! Of the seven games Zubac has played this year, he's only covered this line once, and it was by one point! He has been playing relatively consistently but I'm confused by this line and why it's staying so high. It's not like the Suns are the best defensive team but they aren't the worst either, limiting opposing centers to the seventh lowest points per game early this season. They're middle of the pack pace wise and this game is in Phoenix. I would have put this line closer to 29 or 30 so there is definitely some value to be had at near even odds.
Whether you're new to sports betting or a betting pro, our How To Bet and Sports Betting Strategy and Advice pages are for you. You can get started with our How To Section - including How to Avoid the 7 Biggest Sports Betting Mistakes - or head to a more advanced strategy - like Thinking Like an Expert Sports Bettor - to learn more.
Ryan Coleman is a featured writer at BettingPros. Follow him on Twitter @ryancoleman_98. For more from Ryan, check out his archive.