Welcome to another day of NBA player props. If you aren't taking advantage of the BettingPros prop tools, you're missing out, but there's no time like the present for what should be a very fun playoffs.
It's been a profitable year, and I plan on continuing that into the postseason. As always, monitor any potential news and lineup announcements. The best way to stay informed about NBA player props is to stay current with the latest updates. The second-best way is to shop around at different sportsbooks. Player props rarely have identical odds across platforms, so ensure you get the best value.
We had a perfect run yesterday, and I look forward to riding that momentum into today. Let's get to the best bets of the slate. Unless specified otherwise, each bet will be for a single unit.
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Thursday’s Best NBA Player Prop Bets
Last Time: 3-0 | This Season: 85-71
Jalen Johnson Over 35.5 Points + Assists + Rebounds (-108 at Caesars Sportsbook)
I'm going right back to the well here with the backs-against-the-wall narrative. Simply trusting a team's star player to step up when called upon isn't exactly the most analytical move, but in the playoffs, it's worked. Look at the Orlando-Detroit game last night.
Obviously, Atlanta is in a big pace-down spot playing New York, but this is their sixth matchup, and these opponents know each other well. Playing at home offers a massive bump to the Hawks, and we saw Jalen Johnson sail over this line in Game 3 when playing in Atlanta.
Johnson covered this line in six out of nine games entering the playoffs and in all three regular-season games against the Knicks. He's shown he can do it, and I expect him to show he can do it again tonight in a win-or-go-home matchup.
Jaylen Brown Over 36.5 Points + Assists + Rebounds (-115 at Novig)
This is another prop due for positive regression. We saw it open at 39.5, so sportsbooks believe in Jaylen Brown, but I'm zagging against the public and fading this line. The Boston guard covered this line in seven out of 10 games entering the playoffs.
Brown has gone over a combined 30 points + assists + rebounds in four out of five games against Philly in the series, so it's not like he's been failing to get close, but this prop is too low for someone who went 44-31 in covering this line this season.
Of course, the stakes are higher, but Boston can manage this 76ers defense and is due for some major positive regression after the last game. I expect their offense to show up, and while Jayson Tatum will be at the helm, Brown is equally as important to ensure a series victory for the Celtics on the road tonight.
Ayo Dosunmu Under 23.5 Points + Rebounds (-104 at DraftKings Sportsbook)
Call me crazy, but I'm fading Ayo Dosunmu at home in Game 6 against the Nuggets. The former Bull went off in Game 4, yes, but we saw the major crash back to expectancy once Denver had a day to regroup against a weakened Timberwolves team.
That same team is going to have trouble stopping Denver’s offense and will have trouble scoring on their own. I'm taking all the Minnesota unders, but the Game 4 performance is still fresh in a lot of memories. Expect Dosunmu's lines to continue getting juiced. I'm happy to continue taking his unders across the board.
Ryan Coleman is a featured writer at BettingPros. Follow him on Twitter @ryancoleman_98. For more from Ryan, check out his archive.