Happy New Year, everyone. Can we still say that? I think I'm still within the grace period. Anyways, welcome to another day of NBA player props, as we hunker down for the cold after the holiday season. It's been a bit of a cold spell, but we're still up on the season.
As always, monitor any potential news and lineup announcements. The best way to stay informed about NBA player props is to stay up-to-date with the latest news. The second-best way is to shop around at different sportsbooks. Player props rarely have identical odds across platforms, so ensure you get the best value. We have a solid seven-game slate on Wednesday, so we are a bit tighter on options. Either way, let's get to it.
Unless specified otherwise, each bet will be for a single unit.
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Wednesday’s Best NBA Player Prop Bets
Last Time: 1-1 | This Season: 38-31
Karl-Anthony Towns Over 34.5 Points + Assists + Rebounds (-118 at FanDuel Sportsbook)
We’re starting with a banger because it seems like the sportsbooks are heavily favoring New York to go in and handle business out West tonight. The Knicks are 11.5-point favorites, and it makes sense why. Sacramento is 3-7 over their last 10 games while ranking 27th defensively.
Throughout the entire season, only the Wizards have allowed more combined points + assists + rebounds to opposing centers than the Kings. The Wizards barely count as a team when it comes to playing defense. Karl-Anthony Towns is coming off a few days of rest and staying steady around a 27% usage rate, which should be plenty to get over this line after he's come oh so close in his last two efforts.
James Harden Under 28.5 Points (-115 at Hard Rock Bet)
I know I just threw Washington under the bus defensively, but let's just ignore that for a second. James Harden hasn't covered this line in six of his last eight games, averaging well below 29 points a night. Even as double-digit favorites, the total on this game is only 225 points.
The Clippers absolutely get a boost playing Washington, I won't deny that, but the Wizards haven't been too shabby against opposing point guards, ranking sixth-best at limiting opposing guard scoring. If you look over their last 10 games, Washington ranks 13th defensively, which is essentially medal-worthy. This is simply a case of over-inflating a line against an opponent who historically deserves to be inflated against. However, for tonight, I'm zagging against everyone else zigging to the over.
Andrew Nembhard Under 25.5 Points + Assists (-120 Hard Rock Bet)
Finally, I'm fading a player on a team that should be more than a 3-point underdog. Toronto ranks sixth defensively and in the bottom third in pace of play. They’re an even better defensive team on the road this year, surprisingly, ranking eighth at limiting opposing guard scoring this year.
Even with the injuries suffered, the Raptors are still a top-10 defense in recent play. Andrew Nembhard has been playing well enough to earn a bump in his points and assists line. But he's due for regression as his usage rate has gone down in the last two weeks of play. The BettingPros Prop Bet Cheat Sheet projects Nembhard closer to 20 on this combo prop, and I must agree. The cheat sheet is the best tool in the business, and you can't convince me otherwise. You're getting great value fading the Indiana guard here.
Ryan Coleman is a featured writer at BettingPros. Follow him on Twitter @ryancoleman_98. For more from Ryan, check out his archive.