Welcome to another day of NBA prop betting, as we are well into the postseason. If you aren't taking advantage of the BettingPros prop tools, you're missing out. There's no time like the present for what has been a fun playoffs.
It's been a profitable year, and I plan on continuing that during this postseason. As always, monitor any potential news and lineup announcements. The best way to stay informed about NBA player props is to stay current with the latest updates. The second-best way is to shop around at different bookstores. Player props rarely have identical odds across platforms, so ensure you get the best value.
There's only one game today after the Thunder took care of business against the Lakers. Still, there are plenty of angles to take for Game Five of Detroit vs. Cleveland.
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Wednesday Best NBA Player Props & Bets
Last Time: 0-2 | This Season: 86-74
Evan Mobley Over 26.5 Pts + Ast + Reb (-106 at FanDuel)
With the series returning to Detroit, the temptation is to take unders for the Cleveland players, but the sportsbooks have adjusted for that as well. For tonight, I'm chasing the minutes beyond Donovan Mitchell and James Harden. That's Evan Mobley.
Mobley is coming off an impressive outing in which he played nearly 40 minutes. Even if it stays closer to 35-36, as he had throughout the rest of the series, that's still elevated enough to get to this prop from pure opportunity. He has the ability to score from all three levels and is a capable rebounder.
This is a prop that Mobley covered in 5-of-7 games against Toronto, and he has a 2-2 split so far in this series. He is due for positive regression, and with the BettingPros Prop Bet Cheat Sheet projecting this combo prop closer to 30 PAR, there's a ton of value here.
Daniss Jenkins Over 13.5 Pts + Ast + Reb (-120 at BetMGM)
Taking two overs in a game with a total of 212 points feels a little risky, but sometimes you have to zag while everyone else zigs. I'm not a small-sample-size guy, but in the playoffs, you have to take every piece of data with extra weight.
The difference in splits between Jenkins’ home play vs. away from Detroit is stark enough to provide a lot of value for alt props here. In the Pistons’ last three home playoff games, including Game Seven against Orlando, Jenkins has covered this prop by an average of 9.3 PAR. Obviously, it has helped that Kevin Huerter has been out, and it seems like he'll miss tonight too.
There's a chance Jenkins gets to 14 PAR on scoring alone, as he should see the court for about 24 minutes. I'd advise taking the alts to get some value on this one, as it feels like a boom-or-bust performance is coming for the Pistons backup guard.
Ryan Coleman is a featured writer at BettingPros. Follow him on Twitter @ryancoleman_98. For more from Ryan, check out his archive.