The final NFL Wild Card matchup features an AFC tilt between the Houston Texans and the Pittsburgh Steelers on Monday Night Football. Oddsmakers are laying -3.0 with the Texans as a road favorite at Acrisure Stadium, while the point total is set low at 38.5.
My previous NFL Monday Night Football Player Props & Bets (Week 17) settled 1-2 during the Rams vs. Falcons matchup. Bijan Robinson went over 4.5 receptions to cash the lone winner. Blake Corum’s early exit due to injury kept him from going over 44.5 rushing yards, while Matthew Stafford’s three interception outing kept the NFL MVP betting favorite from going over 2.5 passing touchdowns at plus odds.
I’ve found three of my favorite player props ahead of the last Monday Night Football game of the season between the Texans and Steelers. Follow me on X at Matt_MacKay_ for more betting analysis and free picks.
Get instant alerts when a line reaches your target via the BettingPros App >>
The final NFL Wild Card matchup features an AFC tilt between the Houston Texans and the Pittsburgh Steelers on Monday Night Football. Oddsmakers are laying -3.0 with the Texans as a road favorite at Acrisure Stadium, while the point total is set low at 38.5.
My previous NFL Monday Night Football Player Props & Bets (Week 17) settled 1-2 during the Rams vs. Falcons matchup. Bijan Robinson went over 4.5 receptions to cash the lone winner. Blake Corum’s early exit due to injury kept him from going over 44.5 rushing yards, while Matthew Stafford’s three interception outing kept the NFL MVP betting favorite from going over 2.5 passing touchdowns at plus odds.
I’ve found three of my favorite player props ahead of the last Monday Night Football game of the season between the Texans and Steelers. Follow me on X at Matt_MacKay_ for more betting analysis and free picks.
Get instant alerts when a line reaches your target via the BettingPros App >>
Best NFL Monday Night Football Player Prop Picks
(Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook)
Houston’s rookie running back, Woody Marks, has solidified his role as RB1 within the offense. Marks will be facing a stout Steelers run defense, which has held three of its past four opponents under 78 total rushing yards, with Derrick Henry being the lone outlier.
Marks has gone under 54.5 rushing yards in two of his previous three starts for the Texans. He’s been held to 3.7 YPC or less against the Chargers, Chiefs, and Colts across his previous five outings.
Cam Heyward, T.J. Watt, Alex Highsmith, and Keeanu Benton are a disruptive front-seven for the Steelers. Expect Marks to have to earn every yard, while getting reduced carries due to Pittsburgh’s preference to mount long, methodical drives that grind game clock.
Let’s start by fading Houston’s RB1 and bet on Woody Marks to go under 54.5 rushing yards against the Steelers on Monday Night Football.
Let’s bet on Steelers RB Jaylen Warren to go over 12.5 receiving yards for our next wager. Kenneth Gainwell is the primary receiver out of the backfield for Pittsburgh, and Houston’s smothering defense will be keyed on playing contain.
Warren has seen less volume as a receiver, while still logging double-digit carries for the Steelers in four consecutive games. After being held without a target against Cleveland, Pittsburgh QB Aaron Rodgers targeted Warren five times against Baltimore in Week 18, leading to five receptions for 33 yards.
Warren has gone over 12.5 receiving yards in eight starts this season. In a high-stakes playoff environment, expect Rodgers to continue looking for a quick check-down to avoid the inevitable pressure from Houston’s talented defensive front.
12.5 receiving yards is too low for a player with as much usage and talent as Warren. Let’s take advantage of this number and bet on Warren’s over 12.5 receiving yards prop against the Texans on Monday Night Football.
Aaron Rodgers may be 42 years old, but he’s still playing with extreme confidence and displaying his throwing accuracy in clutch moments. The veteran signal-caller has logged over 204.5 passing yards against four of Pittsburgh’s previous five opponents, excluding Cleveland. He achieved this feat against the Ravens twice, the Dolphins, and the Lions.
DK Metcalf is also returning from a two-game suspension. The Steelers’ big-framed WR1 is going to give Rodgers a huge target all over the field, while absorbing coverage to open up other players within OC Arthur Smith’s zone scheme that relies heavily on play-action passing.
Houston’s pass defense has quietly regressed down the stretch. The Texans have allowed the Cardinals’ Jacoby Brissett, Chargers’ franchise quarterback Justin Herbert, and Colts’ rookie QB Riley Leonard to go over 205 total passing yards in three of their past four games played.
Rodgers is a Hall-of-Fame talent. He’s one of the most cerebral quarterbacks in the playoffs and still has enough talent and weapons surrounding him to go over 204.5 passing yards against a top-tier defense like Houston.
Let’s conclude by betting on Rodgers to go over 204.5 passing yards in a home playoff game on Monday Night Football.
Matthew MacKay is a featured writer for BettingPros and FantasyPros. For more from Matthew, check out his archive and follow him @Matt_MacKay_.
