Week 9 has a plethora of NFL prop bets for us to target. There are two running backs who have rushing yard totals that stand out as values based upon their matchup. We also have not one but two players that I expect to find the end zone at +200 or better. I also throw an extra wrinkle into the fold with a parlay this week! Pairing two quarterbacks with turnovers in their future gives use juice that is much more palatable. But before we move forward, we must look back at the week that was, even if it was less than ideal.
Week 8 was one to forget. Ryan Tannehill had a really good game against the Buccaneers just as I thought he would. However, he was far too efficient throwing for too few yards to cash the over. This was helped by Derrick Henry who found footing on the ground against the league’s best rush defense. He rumbled his way to 75 yards which was the most Tampa Bay allowed and unfortunately hit the over. Daniel Jones was not able to do the same as he fell just short of his 18.5 rushing yard total against Detroit. All was not lost, though, as Jacoby Brissett helped me regain my sanity at plus money throwing for more yards than Joe Flacco.
So how will we rebound this week? Let’s check out what DraftKings Sportsbook has to offer for Week 9 of the NFL season.
Chris Carson – Under 70.5 Rushing Yards (-134)
I am going back to the well again this week by fading a running back against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. As I mentioned, Derrick Henry ran for 75 yards a week ago against the Buccaneers. This was the most rushing yards they have given up all season long. The previous high was held by Alvin Kamara who had 62. Outside of Kamara and Henry, no running back had eclipsed 40 yards rushing. The juice has swung to the under which gives me some extra confidence going with the under in this spot. Take the under on 70.5 even with the heavy juice.
Mark Ingram – Over 51.5 Rushing Yards (-112)
If you like the over with Mark Ingram, you have to believe the Ravens can hang around against New England. Spoiler alert, I do. If you watched the Patriots game against the Browns a week ago you saw Nick Chubb running up and down the field. Unfortunately, he had issues keeping his hands on the ball or that game may have been much closer.
While the Patriots’ defense has been incredible for fantasy, their opponents have been able to move the ball on the ground. Le’Veon Bell had 70 yards against this defense despite his offense being a dumpster fire. Even old man Frank Gore had a field day running for 109 yards in a game the Bills kept close. Look for Ingram to get enough traction to get at least 52 yards and likely much more on the ground this week.
Jameis Winston and Brandon Allen – Over .5 Interceptions (-113)
This week DraftKings Sportsbook has some interception props that are compelling. While backing Jameis Winston at -275 or Brandon Allen at -265 is far too much juice for me to lay, throwing them into a parlay brings the juice down to -113. Winston is a turnover machine that has 12 interceptions on the season. He has thrown at least once pick in all but two games this season. Seattle should get at least one with the amount Winston will be throwing.
Brandon Allen, on the other hand, doesn’t have the track record of Winston. He actually doesn’t have any track record. This will be his first NFL start. I will take my chances on the first-time starter throwing the ball to the wrong team at least once.
Eric Ebron – Anytime Touchdown (+225)
The Indianapolis Colts will need someone to step up this week as they will be without the services of T.Y. Hilton. While Zach Pascal will step into the literal void in the offense, I expect Eric Ebron to step up into a more prominent role in the passing game. The Steelers have struggled against opposing tight ends. I expect Ebron to get a volume bump, especially when the Colts get in the red zone. Hunter Henry had two touchdowns against this defense in Week 6. Will Dissly did the same thing back in Week 2. At better than 2/1 odds I will take my chances with Ebron finding the end zone at least once.
Robby Anderson – Anytime Touchdown (+200)
The New York Jets haven’t been great since Sam Darnold saw ghosts against the New England Patriots. That said, this week they will feel much more comfortable against a Miami Dolphins team that has been outscored 77 to 238.
Getting Robby Anderson at 2/1 feels like tremendous value. Miami is down Xavien Howard who was their best defensive player. After getting hurt a week ago the Steelers really gained traction in the passing game. I expect Anderson to get plenty of deep shots and can see him running into the end zone. I will be celebrating with him as I cash this bet.
Good luck in Week 9!