NFL Week 11 is here, and it's time to lock in some best bets and props before the games kick off. We have some exciting Week 11 games on the Sunday slate, featuring Chiefs vs. Bills and Ravens vs. Steelers. Picking matchups against the spread and betting on the over/under is more commonplace, but a Same Game Parlay (SGP) gives us even more added action. Let's find some plus-money SGP picks for every game on the NFL Week 11 Sunday afternoon slate.
Keep in mind the odds below are accurate as of writing but are always subject to change up until kickoff. Keep track of any of the latest NFL injury news and odds movement before locking in any of these SGP bets. Here are the best NFL Week 11 Same Game Parlays. Below we dive into our favorite NFL Week 11 same game parlay picks for Falcons vs. Broncos.
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Best NFL Week 11 Same Game Parlays: Falcons vs. Broncos
(Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook)
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Falcons vs. Broncos
- Leg 1: Broncos Moneyline (-135)
- Leg 2: Audric Estime 60+ Rushing Yards (+115)
- Leg 3: Bijan Robinson 25+ Receiving Yards (-135)
The Falcons and Broncos are both coming off close divisional losses ahead of this week's matchup. Atlanta suffered a poor upset at New Orleans despite being favored on the road. The Broncos, meanwhile, had an upset of their own brewing until Kansas City blocked the game-winning field goal. It's a tough spot for both teams to rebound, but we should have more confidence in Denver doing it at home.
The Broncos have lost consecutive games to the Ravens and Chiefs now. The results are very understandable, especially with both losses coming on the road. Despite falling short last week, Denver can take away some positives to build off. The defense held Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs offense to just 16 points while shutting down the run game. Vance Joseph's defense is playing at a high level, ranking top-5 in both total yards and points allowed per game.
Denver's blitz-heavy defense with elite man-coverage schemes makes it tough on opposing quarterbacks. Only one quarterback (Lamar Jackson) has had any meaningful success against the defense this year. Kirk Cousins has shown flashes this year, but he's struggled against the blitz. The Broncos' talented corners can limit Drake London and Darnell Mooney enough to hold the Atlanta offense in check.
On the other side, Bo Nix continues to impress in his rookie season. Sean Payton is regularly putting him in the best situations to succeed. Nix will face an Atlanta defense that's allowing a league-high 70.3% completion rate with just nine sacks through 10 games. If he's comfortable in the pocket, Nix should have another productive day.
The emergence of Audric Estime as a power running back adds another dimension to the Broncos offense. The rookie had a "breakout" game last week with 14 carries for 53 yards to lead the Denver backfield. He also logged a season-high snap share, while Jaleel McLaughlin and Javonte Williams combined for just three carries. Payton noted that Estime would get more work, and it showed last week - against a top-tier Chiefs rush defense, no less. Now he faces an Atlanta defense allowing 4.5 yards per carry (17th in NFL) and 129.4 rush yards per game (20th).
Denver is strong against the run, and the man-heavy coverages could bottle up the Falcons' receivers. In turn, Bijan Robinson's role as a pass-catcher should be elevated. The Broncos are allowing 43.8 receiving yards per game to running backs as other opposing teams have fallen into that trend. Robinson has 25+ receiving yards in seven of 10 games this year while averaging 33.1 per game.
Parlay Odds: +410
