We kick off Week 13 with a Thanksgiving slate of three games (and a bonus Black Friday game tomorrow). Normally, we cover one Thursday game, so thanks and praise are given for this gift. These NFL Thanksgiving Day player props will be very straightforward in an effort to save you from screaming at the television in front of your family and in-laws alike.
Without any further delay, let's get into our favorite props for 1the Thanksgiving Day slate (and we have a bonus Black Friday prop to top it off).
We kick off Week 13 with a Thanksgiving slate of three games (and a bonus Black Friday game tomorrow). Normally, we cover one Thursday game, so thanks and praise are given for this gift. These NFL Thanksgiving Day player props will be very straightforward in an effort to save you from screaming at the television in front of your family and in-laws alike.
Without any further delay, let's get into our favorite props for 1the Thanksgiving Day slate (and we have a bonus Black Friday prop to top it off).
NFL Thanksgiving Day Player Props & Bets
(Odds Courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Jameson Williams 50+ Yards (-129)
Jameson Williams is coming off an abysmal performance against the New York Giants. The Lions wide receiver didn’t record a reception on three targets. Williams has failed to accumulate more than one catch in three contests over the course of the season.
We are looking for Williams to bounce back in a major way here, backing him to record 50+ yards. The Lions receiver finished with at least 66 yards following the previous two contests of one reception or fewer. Williams saw an average of 6.5 targets after failing to garner more than one attempted pass in his direction.
The Alabama alum finished with at least 66 yards in three straight games before Sunday. Williams has reached at least 50 yards in five out of 10 games, while averaging 56.2 yards on the season. The Packers have only allowed three passes of 40+ yards on the season and 21 passes of 20+ yards (fewest in the league).
It's most likely going to take at least four receptions to reach 50+ yards, so we wouldn't fault you for taking either the receptions or yards prop for Williams in this contest. However, the yards prop is our preferred selection.
Jordan Love Over 19.5 Completions (-123)
Jordan Love has not thrown for over 180 yards in three consecutive contests. Love is also averaging a pedestrian quarterback rating of 64.4. The Green Bay quarterback is averaging a completion rate of 58.9% over the past three games, while slinging no more than 24 attempts in the previous two contests. Still, Love is a prime candidate to turn it around today against Detroit.
Despite combining for a total of 27 completions over the last two games, Love is averaging 20.4 completions over the last five contests. Love has finished with at least 20 completions in four out of the last eight games.
In what has all the makings of a phenomenal divisional shootout, it's incredibly difficult to take an under on Love reaching 20 completions. The payout to fall short of 20 successful targets is enticing given the recency bias. However, we are backing Love to connect on at least 20 attempts in this contest.
George Pickens 70+ Receiving Yards (-137)
George Pickens has totaled at least 70 yards in seven out of the last eight games. He has combined for an astounding 190 yards over the previous two contests. The Georgia alum is averaging 101.8 yards when playing at home, and 93 yards against teams in the AFC this season.
The young receiver is simply loading up on everything as of late. Whether it’s targets, receptions, yards or touchdowns, Pickens is showing supreme consistency. The Dallas receiver has seen 38 targets and caught 31 passes over the last four contests. Pickens has successfully accumulated at least 70 yards in six consecutive games.
The last two games for the 24-year-old have been nothing short of sensational. It's not the most controversial take to state that Pickens is becoming the Cowboys’ most reliable receiver this season. Pickens has caught at least six receptions in five out of the last six games, while averaging 116.1 yards over that span.
Both Teams (Kansas City and Dallas) to Kick a 33-Yard or Longer Field Goal (-105)
Harrison Butker's longest field goal through 11 games is 59 yards. The kicker out of Georgia Tech has connected on 21 out of 24 field goals, and has kicked at least one 33-yard field goal or longer in nine out of 11 contests. Butler is making an average of 1.9 field goals on the season, with nine successful field goals in the previous three contests.
Brandon Aubrey has made at least one field goal in all 11 games this season. Aubrey jas successfully hit one field goal from 33 yards or longer in seven out of 11 contests. The Cowboys kicker has connected on a 33-yard or longer field goal in four out of the last six games, including two consecutive contests.
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Opponents are making 1.5 field goals per game against Kansas City. Opponents are making 1.6 field goals per game against Dallas. The Chiefs are allowing 2.3 made field goals per game over the last three contests. Butker is averaging three successful field goals over the previous three games.
Mark Andrews Under 41.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
It has been a rough eighth NFL season for Mark Andrews. The veteran tight end is averaging a ghastly 25.9 yards per contest, with a longest reception of 27 yards. Andrews is sporting an average of 8.6 yards per catch - almost four yards fewer than his career average of 12.4. At this rate, this will be the first season that Andrews does not average at least 10 yards per catch.
The Oklahoma alum has not accumulated 42+ yards against an AFC opponent this season. The Ravens tight end finished with 42+ yards in only one out of 11 games. Andrews has combined for a total of 55 yards through the previous three contests.
The 41.5 line is extremely tough to understand. Not only is Andrews averaging fewer than 26 yards per game, but he also hasn't recorded 42 yards in a game since Week 3. No sense in overthinking this selection.
Black Friday Bonus Prop: Caleb Williams 20+ Rushing Yards (-130)
Caleb Williams enters this contest averaging 25.1 rushing yards per game on the season. This does give us a decent edge in a contest where Williams may be forced out of the pocket way more frequently than he is comfortable with. Philadelphia ranks amongst the top half of the league in terms of quarterback pressures on the season (92).
The Bears quarterback compiled at least 20 rushing yards in eight out of 10 games. Williams has exceeded 19.5 rushing yards in five consecutive contests. The Eagles are conceding an average of 20.3 rushing yards per game to the quarterback position, while allowing at least 20 rushing yards in three out of the previous six contests.
Williams is averaging 5.8 yards per carry on five attempts. The Bears quarterback is averaging 26 yards when facing an NFC opponent. Williams has recorded at least 20 rushing yards in four out of seven games when playing against an NFC conference team this season.
Enjoy the games throughout the next two days. Have a happy and safe Thanksgiving. Best of luck with your picks.
