We're entering the back half of the NFL season, but don't fret, there's still plenty of money to be made down the stretch. This weekend I'm heading to PrizePicks to lock in three player props. If you opt for the PrizePicks Power Play and all three props cash, they'll net us a 7x multiplier.
Get instant alerts when a line reaches your target via the BettingPros App >>
We're entering the back half of the NFL season, but don't fret, there's still plenty of money to be made down the stretch. This weekend I'm heading to PrizePicks to lock in three player props. If you opt for the PrizePicks Power Play and all three props cash, they'll net us a 7x multiplier.
Get instant alerts when a line reaches your target via the BettingPros App >>
Best NFL Week 10 PrizePicks Player Predictions
Let's get started bright and early, where we have an international game in Germany between the Falcons (3-5) and the Colts (7-2). Kick-off is scheduled for 9:30 a.m. ET from Olympic Stadium Berlin in Berlin, Germany.
There's no denying that this Indianapolis offense is a high-power group, as they lead the NFL in scoring with 32.2 points per game. With that being said, I believe it offers us an opportunity to buy back and play the under on an inflated yardage total for Daniel Jones. I mean, this guy has only cleared the 247-yard threshold in three of his 10 games this season. And, being that the Colts are 6.5-point favorites, it's implied that they'll be playing with a lead and likely leaning on the run game as the game progresses.
On the other hand, Atlanta has sneakily had one of the better pass defenses in the NFL this season. They're ranked sixth in opposing completion percentage (62.3%) and are allowing the fewest passing yards per game this season (158.1). Let's play "Indiana Jones" to stay under 246.5 passing yards in Deutschland this weekend.
Bringing it back stateside, I'm narrowing in on this Davis Mills prop in the Jaguars (5-3) vs. Texans (3-5) game in H-Town. This AFC South showdown gets underway at 1:00 p.m. ET from NRG Stadium in Houston, TX.
C.J. Stroud (concussion) has been ruled out this weekend, which means it's Davis Mills time in Houston. Mills played last week and went 17-for-30 (56.7%) for 137 yards in relief against the Broncos. You have to go all the way back to January 2023 to find that last time that Mills has thrown for more than 208.5 yards, so I feel pretty confident playing his under this weekend against the Jags.
Pro Football Focus (PFF) has graded the Jaguars as the 17th-best pass coverage unit, as well as the eighth-best tackling unit in the NFL. Opposing quarterbacks are completing only 63.5% of their passes against Jacksonville (10th). Houston's defense should be able to keep this game close, so I don't anticipate a lot of prevent defense on the opposite side from Jacksonville, which would typically allow for dink-and-dunk, garbage-time yardage from Mills. Ultimately, I think we're in for a lower-scoring, physical divisional game, and I'm willing to bet that Mills stays under this number.
I'll round out my PrizePicks card in The 305, where the lowly Dolphins (2-7) are set to host the Bills (6-2). Kick-off for this AFC East clash is set for 1:00 p.m. ET from Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL.
Khalil Shakir has emerged as the lead receiver in Buffalo, leading the team in targets (49) and receptions (38). His workload has steadily increased, as he has caught 6+ balls in three out of the last four weeks. Shakir is averaging 7.3 targets per game during the four-game sample size.
Josh Allen should be able to have his way with the Miami secondary this weekend, as they come into Week 10 ranked dead last in opposing completion percentage (74.1%). Just think about that — opponents are completing 74.1% of their passes against the Dolphins! PFF grades Miami as the 28th-best pass coverage unit, and with DEs Bradley Chubb (foot) and Chop Robinson (concussion) both dealing with injuries, Allen should absolutely turn up in this game. I think him and Shakir have monster outings in Miami on Sunday afternoon.
