We're onto Week 5 in the NFL, and it'll be another wall-to-wall Sunday of betting action for us thanks to the bonus game across the pond in Europe. I have a player prop in that Vikings vs. Browns game, as well as two other bets from PrizePicks. If you opt for the PrizePicks Power Play and all three player props cash, they'll net us a 6x multiplier.
Get instant alerts when a line reaches your target via the BettingPros App >>
We're onto Week 5 in the NFL, and it'll be another wall-to-wall Sunday of betting action for us thanks to the bonus game across the pond in Europe. I have a player prop in that Vikings vs. Browns game, as well as two other bets from PrizePicks. If you opt for the PrizePicks Power Play and all three player props cash, they'll net us a 6x multiplier.
Get instant alerts when a line reaches your target via the BettingPros App >>
Best NFL PrizePicks Player Predictions
Let's get things started bright and early on Sunday morning in this international showdown between the Vikings (2-2) and the Browns (1-3). The big news out of Cleveland this week is that the Browns will roll with rookie Dillon Gabriel under center moving forward. The Sunday morning opener kicks off at 9:30 a.m. ET from Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London, England.
I'm never rushing to the window to bet a Justin Jefferson Under, but this is one of the rare spots where I'm looking to fade him. I'm really not expecting much out of either offense in this game. For Minnesota, they're still pretty banged up, as it's confirmed that they'll be without LG Donovan Jackson (wrist) and RT Brian O'Neill (knee), while C Ryan Kelly (concussion) is questionable.
That is not ideal when the next matchup you draw is Myles Garrett, Mason Graham, and this star secondary featuring Denzel Ward and Greg Newsome II. Per Pro Football Focus (PFF), the Browns are the top-rated defense in the NFL (87.3). In terms of pass coverage and pressure and specifically, they're seventh (68.7) and first (90.5), respectively. Cleveland is 10th in yards allowed per pass attempt (5.9), and I just don't see this Carson Wentz-led offense finding much success in this one. Give me Jefferson to have less than 68.5 receiving yards.
Bringing it back stateside, let's head to this game that everyone will be looking forward to. It's the Dolphins (1-3) heading up north to the Carolinas to take on the Panthers (1-3). Kickoff is set for 1:00 p.m. ET from Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, NC.
Unlike the earlier game across the pond, I'm expecting to see a lot of scoring in this contest between the Dolphins and Panthers. These are two of the worst defenses in the NFL, so these squads should be trading scores all afternoon long. PFF grades Miami as the worst defense in the league (48.9), while Carolina is 29th (57.9).
With all of that being said, I'm riding with rookie receiver Tetairoa McMillan to have a monster receiving day. The 22-year-old is the sixth-most targeted receiver in the NFL, averaging 8.8 targets per game. He has hauled in 18 passes (32nd) for 278 yards (13th). McMillan has cleared the 60-yard threshold in three out of his four games. This number is pretty low, especially considering the Young-McMillan duo are tasked with moving the ball against this horrendous Miami defense.
All roads lead to a Sunday Night Football clash in the AFC East, as the division-leading Bills (4-0) gear up to host the Patriots (2-2). New England is coming off of a 42-13 thumping of the Panthers, and they find themselves as 7.5-point road underdogs in this spot. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:20 p.m. ET from Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, NY.
There were some question marks surrounding Stefon Diggs entering the year, but the 31-year-old veteran receiver has meshed well with the young Drake Maye. Diggs has 19 catches (26th) on 22 targets (86.4% success rate) for 213 yards (35th). He exploded last weekend against the lousy Panthers for 101 yards on six catches.
Now, the Bills aren't quite the Panthers, but this Buffalo defense has had some problems this season. PFF grades them as the 20th-best defense (63.8), with their pass coverage also coming in at 20th (56.3). Some of the baseline metrics like yards per completion (7.9) and opposing completion percentage (62.14%) are solid for the Bills, but we also have to remember that they may be skewed due to playing opposing quarterbacks like Justin Fields and Spencer Rattler. All things considered, I think the Maye-Diggs duo can come together for 49+ yards on Sunday Night Football.
