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NHL Player Prop Bet Odds, Picks & Projections: Wednesday (11/1)

Avalanche vs. Stars: NHL Odds & Picks (Wednesday)

In the spring of 2023, analysts at BettingPros began using their own projection model for NHL player props and tested it throughout the NHL Playoffs. The model focuses on the prop markets available on the BettingPros NHL Player Props page. With some adjustments and tweaks, the model ended up at +25.6 units in just the five games of the Stanley Cup Final series.

So we’re bringing it back for the entire 2023-2024 season and will be providing our favorite player prop bets from the NHL slate each day. We’ll post our favorite bets in the BettingPros Discord, which is free to join and filled with info from some of the sharpest analysts in the field. We also just started BettingPros NHL Prop Bet group where you can make bets without having to wager money, but you can compete against fellow NHL enthusiasts.

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Best NHL Player Prop Bets

It was nice to be back in the win column last night, and we finished October at +4.03 units. We’re constantly tweaking the model, and as the season goes on, we will probably see more “under” bets as the markets tighten up.

Not today, though. Today, the model projected the first-ever 6+ shots in a game (for Nathan MacKinnon), which is in line with the sportsbooks who have the line at 5.5. I’m taking the over but at a reduced unit risk. The model also likes Trevor Zegras a lot, so we’ve sprinkled in some Ducks props. I’m mostly avoiding Dallas, St. Louis, and Calgary; they have been frustrating to project thus far.

If you have any questions or see a late injury or line change, don’t hesitate to message me @thewonkypenguin on Twitter, and I’ll make sure to update the post/projections accordingly. Keep an eye on my Twitter for additional recommendations, especially goalie props that don’t typically come out until closer to puck drop.

Best of luck to you with your wagers. Let’s win some money!

Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook
Season record: 169-152

Player Team Prop Odds Units To Win
Bobby Brink PHI o1.5 SOG -180 2 1.11
Rasmus Andersson CGY o1.5 BS -180 0.9 0.5
Colton Parayko STL o1.5 BS -180 0.9 0.5
Troy Terry ANA o0.5 P -150 2 1.33
Scott Laughton PHI o1.5 SOG -145 1.5 1.03
Jeff Skinner BUF o0.5 P -140 2 1.42
Elias Lindholm CGY u2.5 SOG -140 1.4 1
Trevor Zegras ANA o0.5 P -130 1.3 1
Mikko Rantanen COL o3.5 SOG -130 1.3 1
Matias Maccelli ARI o0.5 P -115 1.15 1
Trevor Zegras ANA o2.5 SOG 105 1 1.05
Mikko Rantanen COL o1.5 P 105 1 1.05
Nathan MacKinnon COL o5.5 SOG 110 0.5 0.55
Clayton Keller ARI Anytime Goal 120 0.5 0.6
Tyson Foerster PHI o0.5 P 124 1 1.24
Travis Konecny PHI Anytime Goal 130 0.5 0.65

 

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